Lindian Resources Limited’s (ASX:LIN) Profit Outlook

Lindian Resources Limited (ASX:LIN) is possibly approaching a major achievement in its business, so we would like to shine some light on the company. Lindian Resources Limited, together with its subsidiaries, engages in the exploration of mineral properties in Tanzania, Guinea, Malawi, and Australia. On 30 June 2024, the AU$111m market-cap company posted a loss of AU$4.8m for its most recent financial year. The most pressing concern for investors is Lindian Resources' path to profitability – when will it breakeven? In this article, we will touch on the expectations for the company's growth and when analysts expect it to become profitable.

Check out our latest analysis for Lindian Resources

Lindian Resources is bordering on breakeven, according to some Australian Metals and Mining analysts. They expect the company to post a final loss in 2025, before turning a profit of AU$13m in 2026. So, the company is predicted to breakeven approximately 2 years from now. How fast will the company have to grow each year in order to reach the breakeven point by 2026? Working backwards from analyst estimates, it turns out that they expect the company to grow 114% year-on-year, on average, which is extremely buoyant. If this rate turns out to be too aggressive, the company may become profitable much later than analysts predict.

earnings-per-share-growth

Underlying developments driving Lindian Resources' growth isn’t the focus of this broad overview, though, keep in mind that typically a metal and mining business has lumpy cash flows which are contingent on the natural resource mined and stage at which the company is operating. So, a high growth rate is not out of the ordinary, particularly when a company is in a period of investment.

One thing we’d like to point out is that Lindian Resources has no debt on its balance sheet, which is rare for a loss-making metals and mining company, which typically has high debt relative to its equity. This means that the company has been operating purely on its equity investment and has no debt burden. This aspect reduces the risk around investing in the loss-making company.

Next Steps:

There are key fundamentals of Lindian Resources which are not covered in this article, but we must stress again that this is merely a basic overview. For a more comprehensive look at Lindian Resources, take a look at Lindian Resources' company page on Simply Wall St. We've also put together a list of key factors you should further research:

  • Historical Track Record: What has Lindian Resources' performance been like over the past? Go into more detail in the past track record analysis and take a look at the free visual representations of our analysis for more clarity.

  • Management Team: An experienced management team on the helm increases our confidence in the business – take a look at who sits on Lindian Resources' board and the CEO’s background.

  • Other High-Performing Stocks: Are there other stocks that provide better prospects with proven track records? Explore our free list of these great stocks here.

  • Have feedback on this article? Concerned about the content? Get in touch with us directly. Alternatively, email editorial-team (at) simplywallst.com.This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.

    By Matt Earle

    Matthew Earle is the Founder of MiningFeeds. In 2005, Matt founded MiningNerds.com to provide data and information to the mining investment community. This site was merged with Highgrade Review to form MiningFeeds. Matt has a B.Sc. degree with a minor in geology from the University of Toronto.

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