Earnings Miss: Sociedad Química y Minera de Chile S.A. Missed EPS By 39% And Analysts Are Revising Their Forecasts

Sociedad Química y Minera de Chile S.A. (NYSE:SQM) came out with its second-quarter results last week, and we wanted to see how the business is performing and what industry forecasters think of the company following this report. It looks like a pretty bad result, all things considered. Although revenues of US$1.0b were in line with analyst predictions, statutory earnings fell badly short, missing estimates by 39% to hit US$0.31 per share. Following the result, the analysts have updated their earnings model, and it would be good to know whether they think there's been a strong change in the company's prospects, or if it's business as usual. So we collected the latest post-earnings statutory consensus estimates to see what could be in store for next year.

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NYSE:SQM Earnings and Revenue Growth August 22nd 2025

After the latest results, the 14 analysts covering Sociedad Química y Minera de Chile are now predicting revenues of US$4.52b in 2025. If met, this would reflect a satisfactory 6.8% improvement in revenue compared to the last 12 months. Statutory earnings per share are predicted to surge 46% to US$2.44. Yet prior to the latest earnings, the analysts had been anticipated revenues of US$4.36b and earnings per share (EPS) of US$2.31 in 2025. It looks like there's been a modest increase in sentiment following the latest results, withthe analysts becoming a bit more optimistic in their predictions for both revenues and earnings.

See our latest analysis for Sociedad Química y Minera de Chile

Despite these upgrades,the analysts have not made any major changes to their price target of US$49.66, suggesting that the higher estimates are not likely to have a long term impact on what the stock is worth. It could also be instructive to look at the range of analyst estimates, to evaluate how different the outlier opinions are from the mean. Currently, the most bullish analyst values Sociedad Química y Minera de Chile at US$78.00 per share, while the most bearish prices it at US$36.50. This is a fairly broad spread of estimates, suggesting that analysts are forecasting a wide range of possible outcomes for the business.

Of course, another way to look at these forecasts is to place them into context against the industry itself. We can infer from the latest estimates that forecasts expect a continuation of Sociedad Química y Minera de Chile'shistorical trends, as the 14% annualised revenue growth to the end of 2025 is roughly in line with the 17% annual growth over the past five years. By contrast, our data suggests that other companies (with analyst coverage) in a similar industry are forecast to see their revenues grow 4.6% per year. So it's pretty clear that Sociedad Química y Minera de Chile is forecast to grow substantially faster than its industry.

The Bottom Line

The biggest takeaway for us is the consensus earnings per share upgrade, which suggests a clear improvement in sentiment around Sociedad Química y Minera de Chile's earnings potential next year. Happily, they also upgraded their revenue estimates, and are forecasting them to grow faster than the wider industry. The consensus price target held steady at US$49.66, with the latest estimates not enough to have an impact on their price targets.

With that in mind, we wouldn't be too quick to come to a conclusion on Sociedad Química y Minera de Chile. Long-term earnings power is much more important than next year's profits. We have estimates – from multiple Sociedad Química y Minera de Chile analysts – going out to 2027, and you can see them free on our platform here.

That said, it's still necessary to consider the ever-present spectre of investment risk. We've identified 2 warning signs with Sociedad Química y Minera de Chile , and understanding them should be part of your investment process.

Have feedback on this article? Concerned about the content? Get in touch with us directly. Alternatively, email editorial-team (at) simplywallst.com.This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.

By Matt Earle

Matthew Earle is the Founder of MiningFeeds. In 2005, Matt founded MiningNerds.com to provide data and information to the mining investment community. This site was merged with Highgrade Review to form MiningFeeds. Matt has a B.Sc. degree with a minor in geology from the University of Toronto.

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