FCX Leads Metal And Mining Stocks Near Buy Points On Peace Hopes

Freeport-McMoRan, Anglo American and Alcoa were among metal and mining stocks flashing buy signals or close to it on Tuesday morning on hopes for a sustainable end to the U.S.-Iran conflict.

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The prospect of free-flowing oil through the Strait of Hormuz eased inflation worries, lowering interest rates and the dollar while boosting the global growth outlook. That's a positive combination for economically sensitive copper price and that of other industrial metals.

nGold, Silver And Copper Pricesn

Although the U.S. dollar index slipped 0.8% early Tuesday vs. foreign currencies and the 10-year Treasury yield slid eight basis points to 4.49%, metals prices were mixed, though there were some standouts.

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The aluminum futures price rose 1.1%, zinc 1.25%, palladium 2.5% and platinum 0.85%. Meanwhile, the copper price dipped 0.4%, gold 0.3% and silver 0.1%.

nSupply-Demand Backdropn

Reduced aluminum production amid smelter outages in Middle East has lowered inventories. That should have an ongoing positive impact on prices, UBS analyst Daniel Major wrote in a Friday note, according to The Fly investment news site. UBS upgraded Alcoa to buy from neutral, while raising its AA stock price target to 80 from 75.

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Freeport-McMoRan said last month that copper output at its massive Grasberg mine in Indonesia would recover a bit more slowly than previously expected following last fall's fatal mud rush incident. That was among a series of industrywide output disappointments that has tightened up supply amid healthy demand growth. Barclays gave FCX stock a 77 price target and overweight rating last week, naming it one of its three favorite mining stocks.

nFCX And Other Mining Stocks To Watchn

FCX stock rose 2.3% to 63.43 early Tuesday, after slipping close to its 50-day moving average on Friday. A convincing move above the 50-day line would flash an early entry opportunity. Freeport-McMoRan's jagged consolidation also could offer a 68.85 buy point, if it clears the May 13 high.

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Anglo American, which is in the process of buying Teck Resources to form a copper giant, wasn't yet active, but shares closed at 26.16 on Friday, slightly above a 25.51 cup-with-handle buy point, according to MarketSurge. Teck rose 1.7% to 63.71, rising with a buy zone above a 62.41 cup-with-handle buy point.

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The United States Copper Index Fund dipped 0.2% to 38.85, set to remain within a buy zone above a 37.66 cup-with-handle buy point.

nnHow To Read Stock Chartsnn

Diversified mining giants BHP Group and Rio Tinto both climbed near the top of a buy range. Rio, which is part of the IBD Leaderboard portfolio of elite stocks, rose 2.1% to 106.40. The buy zone from a 100.42 cup-with-handle buy point runs through 105.44. BHP rose 1.4% to 85.81, just clear of a buy zone from a cup-with-handle base that runs to 85.32.

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Alcoa rose 2% to 72.81, nearing a 75.70 buy point from a cup base. On Friday, AA stock surged 7.7%, flashing an early entry on the move clear of its 50-day line. Century Aluminum rose 0.7% to 65.51, following Friday's 7.6% surge. Today's premarket move positioned the stock to clear a 65.34 early entry. CENX has a 68.89 buy point from a six-week consolidation.

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Hudbay Minerals, which gets the bulk of its revenue from copper and gold, rose 4.4% to 25.47, flashing an early entry on the move clear of its 21-day exponential average. HBM has a 26.39 buy point from a cup-with-handle base.

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Be sure to read IBD's The Big Picture column after each trading day to get the latest on the prevailing stock market trend and what it means for your trading decisions.

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By Matt Earle

Matthew Earle is the Founder of MiningFeeds. In 2005, Matt founded MiningNerds.com to provide data and information to the mining investment community. This site was merged with Highgrade Review to form MiningFeeds. Matt has a B.Sc. degree with a minor in geology from the University of Toronto.

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