Are Investors Losing Interest in Gold & Silver?

Gold has further extended its decline and is currently trading at $1,650 down $18.00 today.

US dollar gold prices fell to a one-week low Monday morning in London, dropping to $1660 per ounce, as dealers in Asia reported quiet trading, with China celebrating the Lunar New Year holiday.

“We are neutral [on gold] until the current consolidation resolves itself,” says the latest technical analysis report from bullion bank Scotia Mocatta.

Silver fell to $31.27 an ounce – its lowest level in nearly two weeks – while stocks were broadly flat and commodities edged lower as the Dollar strengthened.

Over in India, traditionally the world’s biggest source of private gold demand, “not many deals are happening as the Rupee depreciated on opening and gold is holding steady,” one dealer in Mumbai told newswire Reuters this morning.

“I don’t think there are many other influences in the market, certainly in the Asian market anyway, beyond currencies right now,” says Nick Trevethan, Singapore-based senior metals strategist at ANZ. “I think it’s very much going to be the case of watching the Dollar Index.”

The US Dollar Index, which measures the Dollar’s strength against a basket of other currencies, rose to a one-month high this morning, while the Euro hovered near two-week lows.

Since the start of February, the Euro has fallen more than 2%, though it remains 2.9% up on its low from the first week of January. Major stock markets are also up on the year so far, with the S&P 500 up more than 6%.

“Gold’s correlation with the Euro-Dollar has been hovering close to zero recently, a stark contrast to the stable, strongly positive relationship experienced for most of last year,” says a note from UBS. “The relationship between gold and equities has similarly eased… this suggests that gold’s safe-haven properties are currently considered more dominant, and as such gold is considerably lagging the move in equities as its defensive characteristics become redundant in a more optimistic view of the world.”

The so-called speculative net long position of Comex gold futures and options traders rose in the week ended last Tuesday, having hit its lowest reported level for six months the previous week, data published Friday by the Commodity Futures Trading Commission show.

The spec net long measures the number of bullish minus bearish contracts held by traders classified as noncommercial, such as hedge funds.

By Raphael Thurber

Raphael Thurber is a respected resource writer and editor. A graduate of the College of William and Mary, Raphael is a longtime contributor to Yahoo Finance, with an interest in resource and investment journalism that spans over 10 years. As Editor of MiningFeeds, Raphael is responsible for assuring that the site remains a valuable knowledge resource for those in the mining sector.

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