Highlights include 58.3m at 3.88g/t PGM+Au, 0.12% Ni including 15m at 6.41g/t PGM+Au, 0.11% Ni,and 45.7m at 3.60g/t PGM+Au, 0.08% Ni including 13.7m at 8.47g/t PGM+Au, 0.13% Ni
VANCOUVER, BC, March 13, 2024 /CNW/ – Bravo Mining Corp. (TSXV: BRVO) (OTCQX: BRVMF), ("Bravo" or the "Company") announced that it has received assay results from eight diamond drill holes ("DDH"), five from the North Sector and three from the Southwest Sector at its 100% owned Luanga palladium + platinum + rhodium + gold + nickel project ("Luanga" or "Luanga PGM+Au+Ni Project"), located in the Carajás Mineral Province, state of Pará, Brazil.
"Drilling in the North Sector continues to be encouraging, with wider and higher-grade PGM+Au+Ni mineralization at shallow depths. DDH24LU235 is now the best drill hole intercept to date at Luanga and starts at only 10.5m from surface. In comparison, the Central Sector, which currently contains the largest proportion of Mineral Resource Estimate ("MRE") tonnage at Luanga, has been extended to depths in excess of 400m, suggesting considerable room for further extensions to depth in the North Sector," said Luis Azevedo, Chairman and CEO of Bravo. "We also continue to see some evidence of copper sulphide mineralization at depth in the North, as seen in drill hole DDH24LU235, suggesting potential for different styles of mineralization at Luanga."
Highlights Include:
Drilling in the North Sector continues to improve in grade and thickness compared to previously reported drilling and/or drilling on adjacent drill sections as seen in DDH24LU235 on Section 1:
58.3m at 3.88g/t PGM+Au, 0.12% Ni including 15m at 6.41g/t PGM+Au, 0.11% Ni
45.7m at 3.60g/t PGM+Au, 0.08% Ni including 13.7m at 8.47g/t PGM+Au, 0.13% Ni
Shallow mineralization in the North Sector (Sections 1 and 2) is currently being defined at depths of +/-100m and remains open down dip.
The North Sector has significant potential below 100m from surface, given that the Central Sector extends to depths of more than 400m, which also supports a significant opportunity for MRE growth at shallower depths.
Bore-hole Electromagnetic ("EM") survey team working in parallel with exploration drilling over the priority HeliTEM (airborne electromagnetics) targets, with multiple off-hole conductors ready to be modelled.
|
HOLE-ID |
From |
To |
Thickness (m) |
Pd |
Pt |
Rh |
Au |
PGM + Au |
Ni* (%) Sulphide |
Cu (%) Sulphide |
TYPE |
|
(m) |
(m) |
(g/t) |
(g/t) |
(g/t) |
(g/t) |
(g/t) |
|||||
|
DDH23LU222 |
41.80 |
43.32 |
1.52 |
0.02 |
<0.01 |
<0.01 |
<0.01 |
0.02 |
0.88 |
FR |
|
|
DDH24LU233 |
46.50 |
56.80 |
10.30 |
1.30 |
0.78 |
0.18 |
0.02 |
2.28 |
0.13 |
FR |
|
|
DDH24LU234 |
54.40 |
92.40 |
38.00 |
0.98 |
0.63 |
0.12 |
0.06 |
1.79 |
0.06 |
FR |
|
|
DDH24LU235 |
10.50 |
20.50 |
10.00 |
2.32 |
0.86 |
0.14 |
0.04 |
3.36 |
NA |
Ox |
|
|
And |
21.50 |
79.80 |
58.30 |
2.18 |
1.41 |
0.25 |
0.04 |
3.88 |
0.12 |
FR |
|
|
Including |
49.80 |
64.80 |
15.00 |
3.74 |
2.23 |
0.37 |
0.07 |
6.41 |
0.11 |
FR |
|
|
And |
93.80 |
139.50 |
45.70 |
2.10 |
1.20 |
0.26 |
0.05 |
3.60 |
0.08 |
FR |
|
|
Including |
102.85 |
116.50 |
13.65 |
5.13 |
2.67 |
0.56 |
0.11 |
8.47 |
0.13 |
FR |
|
|
And |
236.30 |
239.30 |
3.00 |
0.00 |
0.00 |
0.00 |
0.03 |
0.04 |
0.01 |
1.01 |
FR |
|
Notes: |
All 'From', 'To' depths, and 'Thicknesses' are downhole. 'NA' Not applicable for Oxide material. |
|
Given orientation of drilling and mineralization, intercepts are estimated at 125% to 140% of true thickness. |
|
|
Type: Ox = Oxide. FR = Fresh Rock. Recovery methods and results will differ based on the type of mineralization. |
|
|
* Bravo's nickel grades are sulphide nickel, and do not include non-recoverable silicate nickel, unlike historical total nickel assays. |
Luanga Drilling Update
Results from eight diamond drill holes have been received from the North and Southwest Sectors. All the drill holes herein reported are angled holes (-60 degrees), towards a 090° azimuth in the North and 360° azimuth in the Southwest. Together, this set of drill holes comprise a total of 1,865 metres of diamond drilling.
Section 1 (Figure 1) in the North Sector shows a new infill drill section with DDH24LU235 being the deepest drill hole on the section, clearly showing significantly better mineralization at depth, both in thickness and grade, in all three distinct zones of mineralization. Two of the mineralised zones now contain significant high-grade portions within the broader mineralised zones. This high-grade mineralization is still only defined to approximately 120m below surface, with additional drilling now planned to test for potential extension at depth. Results bode well for future MRE growth.
58.3m at 3.88g/t PGM+Au, 0.12% Ni, including 15m at 6.41g/t PGM+Au, 0.11% Ni
45.7m at 3.60g/t PGM+Au, 0.08% Ni, including 13.7m at 8.47g/t PGM+Au, 0.13% Ni
Figure 1: North Sector (Section 1 on Figure 3). PGM+Au mineralization significantly wider and higher-grade at depth. (CNW Group/Bravo Mining Corp.)
Section 2 (Figure 2) in the North Sector also shows evidence of increasing widths and grades at shallow depths, with mineralization still open at depth. DDH24LU234 (38.0m at 1.79g/t PGM+Au, 0.06% Ni) is a significant improvement over the up-dip intercept in DDH24LU232 (9.8m at 0.86g/t PGM+Au) and, as with Section 1, these results also bode well for future MRE growth, with significant potential open at depth.
Figure 2: North Sector (Section 2 on Figure 3). Widths and grades improve significantly as mineralization transitions to fresh rock. (CNW Group/Bravo Mining Corp.)
Drill Results Status Update
A total of 269 drill holes have been completed by Bravo to date, for 57,648.45 metres, including 8 metallurgical holes (not subject to routine assaying). Results have been reported for 235 Bravo drill holes to date. Assay results for 26 Bravo drill holes that have been completed are currently outstanding (excluding the metallurgical holes).
Complete Table of Recent Intercepts.
|
HOLE-ID |
From |
To |
Thickness(m) |
Pd |
Pt |
Rh |
Au |
PGM + Au |
Ni* (%) Sulphide |
Cu (%)Sulphide |
TYPE |
|
(m) |
(m) |
(g/t) |
(g/t) |
(g/t) |
(g/t) |
(g/t) |
|||||
|
DDH23LU220 |
No significant results |
||||||||||
|
DDH23LU222 |
41.80 |
43.32 |
1.52 |
0.02 |
<0.01 |
<0.01 |
<0.01 |
0.02 |
0.88 |
FR |
|
|
And |
226.00 |
238.00 |
12.00 |
0.79 |
0.31 |
0.05 |
0.02 |
1.16 |
0.13 |
FR |
|
|
DDH23LU225 |
212.35 |
221.35 |
9.00 |
0.62 |
0.24 |
0.03 |
0.01 |
0.91 |
0.07 |
FR |
|
|
DDH23LU231 |
9.00 |
44.90 |
35.90 |
0.65 |
0.32 |
0.05 |
0.02 |
1.03 |
NA |
Ox |
|
|
And |
53.75 |
60.00 |
6.25 |
0.76 |
0.38 |
0.07 |
0.07 |
1.27 |
0.25 |
FR |
|
|
And |
65.00 |
76.00 |
11.00 |
0.67 |
0.39 |
0.07 |
0.01 |
1.13 |
0.17 |
FR |
|
|
DDH23LU232 |
0.00 |
3.00 |
3.00 |
0.59 |
0.29 |
0.05 |
0.01 |
0.93 |
NA |
Ox |
|
|
And |
8.00 |
11.00 |
3.00 |
0.54 |
0.26 |
0.04 |
0.02 |
0.86 |
NA |
Ox |
|
|
And |
24.05 |
31.80 |
9.75 |
0.53 |
0.27 |
0.04 |
0.02 |
0.86 |
0.13 |
FR |
|
|
And |
92.80 |
118.80 |
26.00 |
0.83 |
0.39 |
0.07 |
0.10 |
1.39 |
0.13 |
FR |
|
|
DDH24LU233 |
0.00 |
15.90 |
15.90 |
0.79 |
0.34 |
0.06 |
0.02 |
1.21 |
NA |
Ox |
|
|
And |
27.90 |
38.90 |
11.00 |
0.82 |
0.29 |
0.07 |
0.02 |
1.19 |
0.03 |
FR |
|
|
And |
46.50 |
56.80 |
10.30 |
1.30 |
0.78 |
0.18 |
0.02 |
2.28 |
0.13 |
FR |
|
|
And |
91.80 |
109.40 |
17.60 |
0.39 |
0.15 |
0.02 |
0.02 |
0.58 |
0.17 |
FR |
|
|
And |
168.75 |
171.90 |
3.15 |
0.65 |
0.28 |
0.05 |
0.04 |
1.02 |
0.09 |
FR |
|
|
DDH24LU234 |
0.00 |
5.20 |
5.20 |
0.77 |
0.24 |
0.04 |
0.03 |
1.08 |
NA |
Ox |
|
|
And |
54.40 |
92.40 |
38.00 |
0.98 |
0.63 |
0.12 |
0.06 |
1.79 |
0.06 |
FR |
|
|
DDH24LU235 |
10.50 |
20.50 |
10.00 |
2.32 |
0.86 |
0.14 |
0.04 |
3.36 |
NA |
Ox |
|
|
And |
21.50 |
79.80 |
58.30 |
2.18 |
1.41 |
0.25 |
0.04 |
3.88 |
0.12 |
FR |
|
|
Including |
49.80 |
64.80 |
15.00 |
3.74 |
2.23 |
0.37 |
0.07 |
6.41 |
0.11 |
FR |
|
|
And |
93.80 |
139.50 |
45.70 |
2.10 |
1.20 |
0.26 |
0.05 |
3.60 |
0.08 |
FR |
|
|
Including |
102.85 |
116.50 |
13.65 |
5.13 |
2.67 |
0.56 |
0.11 |
8.47 |
0.13 |
FR |
|
|
And |
149.10 |
191.20 |
42.10 |
0.53 |
0.22 |
0.03 |
0.04 |
0.82 |
0.04 |
FR |
|
|
And |
236.30 |
239.30 |
3.00 |
0.00 |
0.00 |
0.00 |
0.03 |
0.04 |
0.01 |
1.01 |
FR |
|
Notes: |
All 'From', 'To' depths, and 'Thicknesses' are downhole. 'NA' Not applicable for Oxide material. |
|
Given orientation of drilling and mineralization, intercepts are estimated at 125% to 140% of true thickness. |
|
|
Type: Ox = Oxide. FR = Fresh Rock. Recovery methods and results will differ based on the type of mineralization. |
|
|
* Bravo's nickel grades are sulphide nickel, and do not include non-recoverable silicate nickel, unlike historical total nickel assays |
Figure 3: Location of Bravo Drilling and Sections Reported in this News Release (CNW Group/Bravo Mining Corp.)
About Bravo Mining Corp.
Bravo is a Canadian and Brazil-based mineral exploration and development company focused on advancing its Luanga PGM+Au+Ni Project in the world-class Carajás Mineral Province of Brazil.
The Luanga Project is situated on mature freehold farming land and benefits from being in a location close to operating mines and a mining-experienced workforce, with excellent access and proximity to existing infrastructure, including road, rail, and clean renewable hydro grid power. A fully funded 63,000m infill, step out and exploration drilling and trenching program is well advanced for 2024. Bravo's current Environmental, Social and Governance activities includes planting more than 18,000 high-value trees in the project area, hiring and contracting locally, and ensuring protection of the environment during its exploration activities.
Technical Disclosure
Technical information in this news release has been reviewed and approved by Simon Mottram, F.AusIMM (Fellow Australia Institute of Mining and Metallurgy), President of Bravo Mining Corp. who serves as the Company's "qualified person" as defined in National Instrument 43-101 Standards of Disclosure for Mineral Projects ("NI 43-101"). Mr. Mottram has verified the technical data and opinions contained in this news release.
Forward Looking Statements
This news release contains forward-looking information which is not comprised of historical facts. Forward-looking information is characterized by words such as "best", "better", "encouraging", "wider", "higher-grade", "considerable", "extension", "potential", "significant", "opportunity", "priority", "bodes well", variants of these words and other similar words, phrases, or statements that certain events or conditions "may" or "will" occur. This news release contains forward-looking information pertaining to the Company's ongoing drill program and the results thereof; comparisons to historical and prior Bravo drilling; the potential for extensions to mineralization at depth; the potential for greater thicknesses and/or higher grades at depth and the implications of higher copper grades in certain areas; and the Company's plans in respect thereof. Forward-looking information involves risks, uncertainties and other factors that could cause actual events, results, and opportunities to differ materially from those expressed or implied by such forward-looking information. Factors that could cause actual results to differ materially from such forward-looking information include, but are not limited to, unexpected results from exploration programs, changes in the state of equity and debt markets, fluctuations in commodity prices, delays in obtaining required regulatory or governmental approvals, environmental risks, limitations on insurance coverage; and other risks and uncertainties involved in the mineral exploration and development industry. Forward-looking information in this news release is based on the opinions and assumptions of management considered reasonable as of the date hereof, including, but not limited to, the assumption that the assay results confirm that the interpreted mineralization contains significant values of nickel, PGMs and Au; that the mineralization remains open to depth, that PGM and/or Ni grades and mineralized thicknesses are improving to depth; that final drill and assay results will be in line with management's expectations; that activities will not be adversely disrupted or impeded by regulatory, political, community, economic, environmental and/or healthy and safety risks; that the Luanga Project will not be materially affected by potential supply chain disruptions; and general business and economic conditions will not change in a materially adverse manner. Although the Company believes that the assumptions and factors used in preparing the forward-looking information in this news release are reasonable, undue reliance should not be placed on such information. The Company disclaims any intention or obligation to update or revise any forward-looking information, other than as required by applicable securities laws.
Schedule 1: Drill Hole Collar Details
|
HOLE-ID |
Company |
East (m) |
North (m) |
RL (m) |
Datum |
Depth (m) |
Azimuth |
Dip |
Sector |
|
DDH23LU220 |
Bravo |
657800.01 |
9339871.28 |
221.471 |
SIRGAS2000_UTM_22S |
200.05 |
360.00 |
-60.00 |
Southwest |
|
DDH23LU222 |
Bravo |
657000.42 |
9339411.47 |
243.035 |
SIRGAS2000_UTM_22S |
340.35 |
360.00 |
-60.00 |
Southwest |
|
DDH23LU225 |
Bravo |
656849.98 |
9339305.59 |
232.687 |
SIRGAS2000_UTM_22S |
356.60 |
360.00 |
-60.00 |
Southwest |
|
DDH24LU231 |
Bravo |
659505.03 |
9343323.01 |
259.557 |
SIRGAS2000_UTM_22S |
150.65 |
90.00 |
-60.00 |
North |
|
DDH24LU232 |
Bravo |
659517.04 |
9343422.99 |
240.554 |
SIRGAS2000_UTM_22S |
160.55 |
90.00 |
-60.00 |
North |
|
DDH24LU233 |
Bravo |
659457.20 |
9343323.05 |
260.188 |
SIRGAS2000_UTM_22S |
223.20 |
90.00 |
-60.00 |
North |
|
DDH24LU234 |
Bravo |
659464.78 |
9343422.96 |
243.986 |
SIRGAS2000_UTM_22S |
180.40 |
90.00 |
-60.00 |
North |
|
DDH24LU235 |
Bravo |
659401.00 |
9343322.99 |
254.545 |
SIRGAS2000_UTM_22S |
253.60 |
90.00 |
-60.00 |
North |
Schedule 2: Assay Methodologies and QAQC
Samples follow a chain of custody between collection, processing, and delivery to the SGS Geosol laboratory in Parauapebas, state of Pará, Brazil. The drill core is delivered to the core shack at Bravo's Luanga site facilities and processed by geologists who insert certified reference materials, blanks, and duplicates into the sampling sequence. Drill core is half cut and placed in secured polyurethane bags, then in security-sealed sacks before being delivered directly from the Luanga site facilities to the Parauapebas SGS Geosol laboratory by Bravo staff. Additional information about the methodology can be found on the SGS Geosol website (SGS) in their analytical guides. Information regarding preparation and analysis of historic drill core is also presented in the table below, where the information is known.
Quality Assurance and Quality Control ("QAQC") is maintained internally at the lab through rigorous use of internal certified reference materials, blanks, and duplicates. An additional QAQC program is administered by Bravo using certified reference materials, duplicate samples and blank samples that are blindly inserted into the sample batch. If a QAQC sample returns an unacceptable value an investigation into the results is triggered and when deemed necessary, the samples that were tested in the batch with the failed QAQC sample are re-tested.
|
Bravo SGS Geosol |
||||
|
Preparation |
Method |
Method |
Method |
Method |
|
For All Elements |
Pt, Pd, Au |
Rh |
Sulphide Ni, Cu |
Trace Elements |
|
PRPCLI (85% at 200#) |
FAI515 |
FAI30V |
AA04B |
ICP40B |
Bravo Mining Corp. Logo (CNW Group/Bravo Mining Corp.)
SOURCE Bravo Mining Corp.
Cision
View original content to download multimedia: http://www.newswire.ca/en/releases/archive/March2024/13/c8194.html
Key Insights
Using the 2 Stage Free Cash Flow to Equity, BHP Group fair value estimate is AU$53.69
BHP Group is estimated to be 22% undervalued based on current share price of AU$41.95
Our fair value estimate is 15% higher than BHP Group's analyst price target of US$46.64
In this article we are going to estimate the intrinsic value of BHP Group Limited (ASX:BHP) by taking the expected future cash flows and discounting them to their present value. This will be done using the Discounted Cash Flow (DCF) model. Before you think you won't be able to understand it, just read on! It's actually much less complex than you'd imagine.
Companies can be valued in a lot of ways, so we would point out that a DCF is not perfect for every situation. If you want to learn more about discounted cash flow, the rationale behind this calculation can be read in detail in the Simply Wall St analysis model.
See our latest analysis for BHP Group
The Model
We're using the 2-stage growth model, which simply means we take in account two stages of company's growth. In the initial period the company may have a higher growth rate and the second stage is usually assumed to have a stable growth rate. To start off with, we need to estimate the next ten years of cash flows. Where possible we use analyst estimates, but when these aren't available we extrapolate the previous free cash flow (FCF) from the last estimate or reported value. We assume companies with shrinking free cash flow will slow their rate of shrinkage, and that companies with growing free cash flow will see their growth rate slow, over this period. We do this to reflect that growth tends to slow more in the early years than it does in later years.
Generally we assume that a dollar today is more valuable than a dollar in the future, and so the sum of these future cash flows is then discounted to today's value:
10-year free cash flow (FCF) forecast
|
2024 |
2025 |
2026 |
2027 |
2028 |
2029 |
2030 |
2031 |
2032 |
2033 |
|
|
Levered FCF ($, Millions) |
US$11.1b |
US$10.6b |
US$11.0b |
US$10.5b |
US$10.9b |
US$11.0b |
US$11.1b |
US$11.3b |
US$11.5b |
US$11.7b |
|
Growth Rate Estimate Source |
Analyst x10 |
Analyst x9 |
Analyst x8 |
Analyst x3 |
Analyst x2 |
Est @ 0.95% |
Est @ 1.31% |
Est @ 1.57% |
Est @ 1.74% |
Est @ 1.87% |
|
Present Value ($, Millions) Discounted @ 7.6% |
US$10.3k |
US$9.1k |
US$8.8k |
US$7.8k |
US$7.5k |
US$7.1k |
US$6.7k |
US$6.3k |
US$5.9k |
US$5.6k |
("Est" = FCF growth rate estimated by Simply Wall St)Present Value of 10-year Cash Flow (PVCF) = US$75b
We now need to calculate the Terminal Value, which accounts for all the future cash flows after this ten year period. For a number of reasons a very conservative growth rate is used that cannot exceed that of a country's GDP growth. In this case we have used the 5-year average of the 10-year government bond yield (2.2%) to estimate future growth. In the same way as with the 10-year 'growth' period, we discount future cash flows to today's value, using a cost of equity of 7.6%.
Terminal Value (TV)= FCF2033 × (1 + g) ÷ (r – g) = US$12b× (1 + 2.2%) ÷ (7.6%– 2.2%) = US$219b
Present Value of Terminal Value (PVTV)= TV / (1 + r)10= US$219b÷ ( 1 + 7.6%)10= US$105b
The total value is the sum of cash flows for the next ten years plus the discounted terminal value, which results in the Total Equity Value, which in this case is US$180b. In the final step we divide the equity value by the number of shares outstanding. Relative to the current share price of AU$42.0, the company appears a touch undervalued at a 22% discount to where the stock price trades currently. Remember though, that this is just an approximate valuation, and like any complex formula – garbage in, garbage out.
Now the most important inputs to a discounted cash flow are the discount rate, and of course, the actual cash flows. You don't have to agree with these inputs, I recommend redoing the calculations yourself and playing with them. The DCF also does not consider the possible cyclicality of an industry, or a company's future capital requirements, so it does not give a full picture of a company's potential performance. Given that we are looking at BHP Group as potential shareholders, the cost of equity is used as the discount rate, rather than the cost of capital (or weighted average cost of capital, WACC) which accounts for debt. In this calculation we've used 7.6%, which is based on a levered beta of 1.192. Beta is a measure of a stock's volatility, compared to the market as a whole. We get our beta from the industry average beta of globally comparable companies, with an imposed limit between 0.8 and 2.0, which is a reasonable range for a stable business.
SWOT Analysis for BHP Group
Strength
Debt is not viewed as a risk.
Weakness
Earnings declined over the past year.
Dividend is low compared to the top 25% of dividend payers in the Metals and Mining market.
Opportunity
Annual earnings are forecast to grow faster than the Australian market.
Good value based on P/E ratio and estimated fair value.
Threat
Dividends are not covered by earnings.
Annual revenue is expected to decline over the next 3 years.
Moving On:
Whilst important, the DCF calculation shouldn't be the only metric you look at when researching a company. The DCF model is not a perfect stock valuation tool. Rather it should be seen as a guide to "what assumptions need to be true for this stock to be under/overvalued?" For instance, if the terminal value growth rate is adjusted slightly, it can dramatically alter the overall result. What is the reason for the share price sitting below the intrinsic value? For BHP Group, there are three further aspects you should explore:
Risks: For example, we've discovered 3 warning signs for BHP Group that you should be aware of before investing here.
Management:Have insiders been ramping up their shares to take advantage of the market's sentiment for BHP's future outlook? Check out our management and board analysis with insights on CEO compensation and governance factors.
Other Solid Businesses: Low debt, high returns on equity and good past performance are fundamental to a strong business. Why not explore our interactive list of stocks with solid business fundamentals to see if there are other companies you may not have considered!
PS. The Simply Wall St app conducts a discounted cash flow valuation for every stock on the ASX every day. If you want to find the calculation for other stocks just search here.
Have feedback on this article? Concerned about the content? Get in touch with us directly. Alternatively, email editorial-team (at) simplywallst.com.This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.
In the latest market close, Freeport-McMoRan (FCX) reached $40.36, with a -0.15% movement compared to the previous day. The stock trailed the S&P 500, which registered a daily gain of 1.12%. Meanwhile, the Dow experienced a rise of 0.61%, and the technology-dominated Nasdaq saw an increase of 1.54%.
Coming into today, shares of the mining company had gained 7.24% in the past month. In that same time, the Basic Materials sector gained 5.41%, while the S&P 500 gained 2.06%.
The investment community will be closely monitoring the performance of Freeport-McMoRan in its forthcoming earnings report. In that report, analysts expect Freeport-McMoRan to post earnings of $0.36 per share. This would mark a year-over-year decline of 30.77%. Meanwhile, the latest consensus estimate predicts the revenue to be $5.64 billion, indicating a 4.75% increase compared to the same quarter of the previous year.
Regarding the entire year, the Zacks Consensus Estimates forecast earnings of $1.52 per share and revenue of $23.19 billion, indicating changes of -1.3% and +1.48%, respectively, compared to the previous year.
It's also important for investors to be aware of any recent modifications to analyst estimates for Freeport-McMoRan. These latest adjustments often mirror the shifting dynamics of short-term business patterns. Consequently, upward revisions in estimates express analysts' positivity towards the company's business operations and its ability to generate profits.
Our research reveals that these estimate alterations are directly linked with the stock price performance in the near future. To exploit this, we've formed the Zacks Rank, a quantitative model that includes these estimate changes and presents a viable rating system.
The Zacks Rank system, running from #1 (Strong Buy) to #5 (Strong Sell), holds an admirable track record of superior performance, independently audited, with #1 stocks contributing an average annual return of +25% since 1988. Over the last 30 days, the Zacks Consensus EPS estimate has moved 4.47% higher. As of now, Freeport-McMoRan holds a Zacks Rank of #3 (Hold).
Investors should also note Freeport-McMoRan's current valuation metrics, including its Forward P/E ratio of 26.53. This indicates a premium in contrast to its industry's Forward P/E of 14.56.
The Mining – Non Ferrous industry is part of the Basic Materials sector. Currently, this industry holds a Zacks Industry Rank of 195, positioning it in the bottom 23% of all 250+ industries.
The Zacks Industry Rank assesses the vigor of our specific industry groups by computing the average Zacks Rank of the individual stocks incorporated in the groups. Our research shows that the top 50% rated industries outperform the bottom half by a factor of 2 to 1.
Remember to apply Zacks.com to follow these and more stock-moving metrics during the upcoming trading sessions.
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Freeport-McMoRan Inc. (FCX) : Free Stock Analysis Report
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The latest trading session saw Freeport-McMoRan (FCX) ending at $40.42, denoting a +1.43% adjustment from its last day's close. This move outpaced the S&P 500's daily loss of 0.11%. On the other hand, the Dow registered a gain of 0.12%, and the technology-centric Nasdaq decreased by 0.41%.
Prior to today's trading, shares of the mining company had gained 6.66% over the past month. This has outpaced the Basic Materials sector's gain of 4.98% and the S&P 500's gain of 2.7% in that time.
The investment community will be paying close attention to the earnings performance of Freeport-McMoRan in its upcoming release. On that day, Freeport-McMoRan is projected to report earnings of $0.36 per share, which would represent a year-over-year decline of 30.77%. Meanwhile, our latest consensus estimate is calling for revenue of $5.64 billion, up 4.75% from the prior-year quarter.
In terms of the entire fiscal year, the Zacks Consensus Estimates predict earnings of $1.52 per share and a revenue of $23.19 billion, indicating changes of -1.3% and +1.48%, respectively, from the former year.
Additionally, investors should keep an eye on any recent revisions to analyst forecasts for Freeport-McMoRan. These revisions typically reflect the latest short-term business trends, which can change frequently. As such, positive estimate revisions reflect analyst optimism about the company's business and profitability.
Our research shows that these estimate changes are directly correlated with near-term stock prices. To take advantage of this, we've established the Zacks Rank, an exclusive model that considers these estimated changes and delivers an operational rating system.
The Zacks Rank system, which ranges from #1 (Strong Buy) to #5 (Strong Sell), has an impressive outside-audited track record of outperformance, with #1 stocks generating an average annual return of +25% since 1988. Over the last 30 days, the Zacks Consensus EPS estimate has witnessed a 4.47% increase. Right now, Freeport-McMoRan possesses a Zacks Rank of #3 (Hold).
In terms of valuation, Freeport-McMoRan is presently being traded at a Forward P/E ratio of 26.16. This indicates a premium in contrast to its industry's Forward P/E of 14.81.
The Mining – Non Ferrous industry is part of the Basic Materials sector. This industry, currently bearing a Zacks Industry Rank of 210, finds itself in the bottom 17% echelons of all 250+ industries.
The Zacks Industry Rank assesses the vigor of our specific industry groups by computing the average Zacks Rank of the individual stocks incorporated in the groups. Our research shows that the top 50% rated industries outperform the bottom half by a factor of 2 to 1.
You can find more information on all of these metrics, and much more, on Zacks.com.
Want the latest recommendations from Zacks Investment Research? Today, you can download 7 Best Stocks for the Next 30 Days. Click to get this free report
Freeport-McMoRan Inc. (FCX) : Free Stock Analysis Report
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Key Insights
Using the 2 Stage Free Cash Flow to Equity, Freeport-McMoRan fair value estimate is US$56.61
Current share price of US$39.81 suggests Freeport-McMoRan is potentially 30% undervalued
Our fair value estimate is 23% higher than Freeport-McMoRan's analyst price target of US$46.21
How far off is Freeport-McMoRan Inc. (NYSE:FCX) from its intrinsic value? Using the most recent financial data, we'll take a look at whether the stock is fairly priced by projecting its future cash flows and then discounting them to today's value. Our analysis will employ the Discounted Cash Flow (DCF) model. There's really not all that much to it, even though it might appear quite complex.
We generally believe that a company's value is the present value of all of the cash it will generate in the future. However, a DCF is just one valuation metric among many, and it is not without flaws. If you want to learn more about discounted cash flow, the rationale behind this calculation can be read in detail in the Simply Wall St analysis model.
View our latest analysis for Freeport-McMoRan
What's The Estimated Valuation?
We use what is known as a 2-stage model, which simply means we have two different periods of growth rates for the company's cash flows. Generally the first stage is higher growth, and the second stage is a lower growth phase. To begin with, we have to get estimates of the next ten years of cash flows. Where possible we use analyst estimates, but when these aren't available we extrapolate the previous free cash flow (FCF) from the last estimate or reported value. We assume companies with shrinking free cash flow will slow their rate of shrinkage, and that companies with growing free cash flow will see their growth rate slow, over this period. We do this to reflect that growth tends to slow more in the early years than it does in later years.
Generally we assume that a dollar today is more valuable than a dollar in the future, and so the sum of these future cash flows is then discounted to today's value:
10-year free cash flow (FCF) estimate
|
2024 |
2025 |
2026 |
2027 |
2028 |
2029 |
2030 |
2031 |
2032 |
2033 |
|
|
Levered FCF ($, Millions) |
US$2.53b |
US$4.32b |
US$5.00b |
US$4.47b |
US$5.01b |
US$5.15b |
US$5.29b |
US$5.43b |
US$5.57b |
US$5.71b |
|
Growth Rate Estimate Source |
Analyst x7 |
Analyst x7 |
Analyst x4 |
Analyst x1 |
Analyst x1 |
Est @ 2.95% |
Est @ 2.75% |
Est @ 2.61% |
Est @ 2.52% |
Est @ 2.45% |
|
Present Value ($, Millions) Discounted @ 7.8% |
US$2.3k |
US$3.7k |
US$4.0k |
US$3.3k |
US$3.4k |
US$3.3k |
US$3.1k |
US$3.0k |
US$2.8k |
US$2.7k |
("Est" = FCF growth rate estimated by Simply Wall St)Present Value of 10-year Cash Flow (PVCF) = US$32b
The second stage is also known as Terminal Value, this is the business's cash flow after the first stage. For a number of reasons a very conservative growth rate is used that cannot exceed that of a country's GDP growth. In this case we have used the 5-year average of the 10-year government bond yield (2.3%) to estimate future growth. In the same way as with the 10-year 'growth' period, we discount future cash flows to today's value, using a cost of equity of 7.8%.
Terminal Value (TV)= FCF2033 × (1 + g) ÷ (r – g) = US$5.7b× (1 + 2.3%) ÷ (7.8%– 2.3%) = US$105b
Present Value of Terminal Value (PVTV)= TV / (1 + r)10= US$105b÷ ( 1 + 7.8%)10= US$50b
The total value, or equity value, is then the sum of the present value of the future cash flows, which in this case is US$81b. To get the intrinsic value per share, we divide this by the total number of shares outstanding. Compared to the current share price of US$39.8, the company appears a touch undervalued at a 30% discount to where the stock price trades currently. The assumptions in any calculation have a big impact on the valuation, so it is better to view this as a rough estimate, not precise down to the last cent.
The calculation above is very dependent on two assumptions. The first is the discount rate and the other is the cash flows. You don't have to agree with these inputs, I recommend redoing the calculations yourself and playing with them. The DCF also does not consider the possible cyclicality of an industry, or a company's future capital requirements, so it does not give a full picture of a company's potential performance. Given that we are looking at Freeport-McMoRan as potential shareholders, the cost of equity is used as the discount rate, rather than the cost of capital (or weighted average cost of capital, WACC) which accounts for debt. In this calculation we've used 7.8%, which is based on a levered beta of 1.205. Beta is a measure of a stock's volatility, compared to the market as a whole. We get our beta from the industry average beta of globally comparable companies, with an imposed limit between 0.8 and 2.0, which is a reasonable range for a stable business.
SWOT Analysis for Freeport-McMoRan
Strength
Debt is not viewed as a risk.
Weakness
Earnings declined over the past year.
Dividend is low compared to the top 25% of dividend payers in the Metals and Mining market.
Opportunity
Annual earnings are forecast to grow faster than the American market.
Trading below our estimate of fair value by more than 20%.
Threat
Dividends are not covered by cash flow.
Annual revenue is forecast to grow slower than the American market.
Looking Ahead:
Although the valuation of a company is important, it ideally won't be the sole piece of analysis you scrutinize for a company. DCF models are not the be-all and end-all of investment valuation. Preferably you'd apply different cases and assumptions and see how they would impact the company's valuation. For instance, if the terminal value growth rate is adjusted slightly, it can dramatically alter the overall result. Why is the intrinsic value higher than the current share price? For Freeport-McMoRan, we've compiled three pertinent items you should look at:
Risks: We feel that you should assess the 1 warning sign for Freeport-McMoRan we've flagged before making an investment in the company.
Future Earnings: How does FCX's growth rate compare to its peers and the wider market? Dig deeper into the analyst consensus number for the upcoming years by interacting with our free analyst growth expectation chart.
Other Solid Businesses: Low debt, high returns on equity and good past performance are fundamental to a strong business. Why not explore our interactive list of stocks with solid business fundamentals to see if there are other companies you may not have considered!
PS. Simply Wall St updates its DCF calculation for every American stock every day, so if you want to find the intrinsic value of any other stock just search here.
Have feedback on this article? Concerned about the content? Get in touch with us directly. Alternatively, email editorial-team (at) simplywallst.com.This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.
Key Insights
Significantly high institutional ownership implies Anglo American's stock price is sensitive to their trading actions
The top 19 shareholders own 50% of the company
Every investor in Anglo American plc (LON:AAL) should be aware of the most powerful shareholder groups. We can see that institutions own the lion's share in the company with 65% ownership. In other words, the group stands to gain the most (or lose the most) from their investment into the company.
Institutional investors would appreciate the 9.2% increase in share price last week, given their one-year losses have totalled a disappointing 31%.
Let's delve deeper into each type of owner of Anglo American, beginning with the chart below.
See our latest analysis for Anglo American
ownership-breakdownWhat Does The Institutional Ownership Tell Us About Anglo American?
Many institutions measure their performance against an index that approximates the local market. So they usually pay more attention to companies that are included in major indices.
Anglo American already has institutions on the share registry. Indeed, they own a respectable stake in the company. This can indicate that the company has a certain degree of credibility in the investment community. However, it is best to be wary of relying on the supposed validation that comes with institutional investors. They too, get it wrong sometimes. If multiple institutions change their view on a stock at the same time, you could see the share price drop fast. It's therefore worth looking at Anglo American's earnings history below. Of course, the future is what really matters.
Institutional investors own over 50% of the company, so together than can probably strongly influence board decisions. Anglo American is not owned by hedge funds. BlackRock, Inc. is currently the company's largest shareholder with 8.7% of shares outstanding. For context, the second largest shareholder holds about 7.7% of the shares outstanding, followed by an ownership of 4.6% by the third-largest shareholder.
After doing some more digging, we found that the top 19 have the combined ownership of 50% in the company, suggesting that no single shareholder has significant control over the company.
Researching institutional ownership is a good way to gauge and filter a stock's expected performance. The same can be achieved by studying analyst sentiments. Quite a few analysts cover the stock, so you could look into forecast growth quite easily.
Insider Ownership Of Anglo American
While the precise definition of an insider can be subjective, almost everyone considers board members to be insiders. Company management run the business, but the CEO will answer to the board, even if he or she is a member of it.
I generally consider insider ownership to be a good thing. However, on some occasions it makes it more difficult for other shareholders to hold the board accountable for decisions.
Our data suggests that insiders own under 1% of Anglo American plc in their own names. But they may have an indirect interest through a corporate structure that we haven't picked up on. As it is a large company, we'd only expect insiders to own a small percentage of it. But it's worth noting that they own UK£31m worth of shares. It is always good to see at least some insider ownership, but it might be worth checking if those insiders have been selling.
General Public Ownership
With a 16% ownership, the general public, mostly comprising of individual investors, have some degree of sway over Anglo American. While this group can't necessarily call the shots, it can certainly have a real influence on how the company is run.
Private Company Ownership
We can see that Private Companies own 10.0%, of the shares on issue. It's hard to draw any conclusions from this fact alone, so its worth looking into who owns those private companies. Sometimes insiders or other related parties have an interest in shares in a public company through a separate private company.
Next Steps:
While it is well worth considering the different groups that own a company, there are other factors that are even more important. Case in point: We've spotted 4 warning signs for Anglo American you should be aware of, and 1 of them is potentially serious.
But ultimately it is the future, not the past, that will determine how well the owners of this business will do. Therefore we think it advisable to take a look at this free report showing whether analysts are predicting a brighter future.
NB: Figures in this article are calculated using data from the last twelve months, which refer to the 12-month period ending on the last date of the month the financial statement is dated. This may not be consistent with full year annual report figures.
Have feedback on this article? Concerned about the content? Get in touch with us directly. Alternatively, email editorial-team (at) simplywallst.com.This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.
If you're not sure where to start when looking for the next multi-bagger, there are a few key trends you should keep an eye out for. Firstly, we'll want to see a proven return on capital employed (ROCE) that is increasing, and secondly, an expanding base of capital employed. If you see this, it typically means it's a company with a great business model and plenty of profitable reinvestment opportunities. So on that note, Eastern Platinum (TSE:ELR) looks quite promising in regards to its trends of return on capital.
What Is Return On Capital Employed (ROCE)?
If you haven't worked with ROCE before, it measures the 'return' (pre-tax profit) a company generates from capital employed in its business. To calculate this metric for Eastern Platinum, this is the formula:
Return on Capital Employed = Earnings Before Interest and Tax (EBIT) ÷ (Total Assets – Current Liabilities)
0.12 = US$11m ÷ (US$158m – US$71m) (Based on the trailing twelve months to September 2023).
So, Eastern Platinum has an ROCE of 12%. On its own, that's a standard return, however it's much better than the 1.8% generated by the Metals and Mining industry.
See our latest analysis for Eastern Platinum
While the past is not representative of the future, it can be helpful to know how a company has performed historically, which is why we have this chart above. If you'd like to look at how Eastern Platinum has performed in the past in other metrics, you can view this free graph of Eastern Platinum's past earnings, revenue and cash flow.
What Does the ROCE Trend For Eastern Platinum Tell Us?
Like most people, we're pleased that Eastern Platinum is now generating some pretax earnings. The company was generating losses five years ago, but now it's turned around, earning 12% which is no doubt a relief for some early shareholders. Additionally, the business is utilizing 46% less capital than it was five years ago, and taken at face value, that can mean the company needs less funds at work to get a return. Eastern Platinum could be selling under-performing assets since the ROCE is improving.
On a side note, we noticed that the improvement in ROCE appears to be partly fueled by an increase in current liabilities. The current liabilities has increased to 45% of total assets, so the business is now more funded by the likes of its suppliers or short-term creditors. And with current liabilities at those levels, that's pretty high.
The Bottom Line
From what we've seen above, Eastern Platinum has managed to increase it's returns on capital all the while reducing it's capital base. Given the stock has declined 49% in the last five years, this could be a good investment if the valuation and other metrics are also appealing. That being the case, research into the company's current valuation metrics and future prospects seems fitting.
One more thing: We've identified 4 warning signs with Eastern Platinum (at least 1 which is concerning) , and understanding them would certainly be useful.
For those who like to invest in solid companies, check out this free list of companies with solid balance sheets and high returns on equity.
Have feedback on this article? Concerned about the content? Get in touch with us directly. Alternatively, email editorial-team (at) simplywallst.com.This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.
White Rock, British Columbia–(Newsfile Corp. – March 7, 2024) – Honey Badger Silver Inc. (TSXV: TUF) ("Honey Badger" or the "Company"), is pleased to announce that it will be hosting a Live Webinar on Wednesday, March 13th at 1:30PM EST to discuss similarities between Honey Badger's wholly owned Plata Project and the adjacent Rogue Project held by Snowline Gold. To attend the Webinar, please click here to register.
The Company's CEO, Dorian L. (Dusty) Nicol, commented, "Plata hosts spectacular high grade silver mineralization. Recent mapping, compilation, and interpretation lead to the conclusion that Plata's geologic setting is similar to that of Snowline Gold's adjacent Rogue Project. We now interpret Plata as being related to the same style of mineralization ("Reduced Intrusion Related Gold Deposit") as the Valley discovery within the Rogue Project. Our observations at Plata fit into a mineralization zoning model indicating that silver mineralization at Plata is the periphery of a RIRGS mineralizing system, while geophysics suggests the presence of a buried intrusive. This significantly expands the discovery potential at Plata and led to the acquisition of additional claims (see News Release dated March 5, 2024). We look forward to presenting this concept in more detail during our upcoming webinar."
Qualified PersonTechnical information in this news release has been approved by Dorian L. (Dusty) Nicol, the Company's CEO (PG, FAusIMM), who is a Qualified Person (QP) for the purpose of National Instrument 43-101.
About Honey Badger Silver Inc.
Honey Badger Silver is a silver company. The company is led by a highly experienced leadership team with a track record of value creation backed by a skilled technical team. Our projects are located in areas with a long history of mining, including the Sunrise Lake project with a historic resource of 12.8 Moz of silver Indicated and 13.9 Moz of silver Inferred (1)(3) located in the Northwest Territories and the Plata high grade silver project located 165 km east of Yukon's prolific Keno Hill and adjacent to Snowline Gold's Rogue discovery. The Company's Clear Lake Project in the Yukon Territory has a historic resource of 5.5 Moz of silver and 1.3 billion pounds of zinc (2)(3). The Company also has a significant land holding at the Nanisivik Mine Area located in Nunavut, Canada that produced over 20 Moz of silver between 1976 and 2002. (2,3)
(1) Sunrise Lake 2003 RPA historic resource: Indicated 1.522 million tonnes grading 262 grams/tonne silver, 6.0% zinc, 2.4% lead, 0.08% copper, and 0.67 grams/tonne gold and Inferred 2.555 million tonnes grading 169 grams/tonne silver, 4.4% zinc, 1.9% lead, 0.07% copper, and 0.51 grams/tonne gold.(2) Clear Lake 2010 SRK historic Resource: Inferred 7.76 million tonnes grading 22 grams/tonne silver, 7.6% zinc, and 1.08% lead.(3) Geological Survey of Canada, 2002-C22, "Structural and Stratigraphic Controls on Zn-Pb-Ag Mineralization at the Nanisivik Mississippi Valley type Deposit, Northern Baffin Island, Nunavut; by Patterson and Powis."(4) A qualified person has not done sufficient work to classify this historic tonnage estimate as a current mineral resource and the Company is not treating the estimate as a current mineral resource. The historic tonnage estimate cannot be relied upon. Additional work, including verification drilling / sampling, will be required to verify the estimate as a current mineral resource.
ON BEHALF OF THE BOARD
Dorian L. (Dusty) Nicol, CEO
For more information please visit our website www.honeybadgersilver.com or contact Ms. Michelle Savella for Investor Relations | msavella@honeybadgersilver.com | +1 (604) 828-5886.
Neither the TSX Venture Exchange nor its Regulation Services Provider (as that term is defined in the policies of the TSX Venture Exchange) accepts responsibility for the adequacy or accuracy of this release.
Cautionary Note Regarding Forward-Looking Information
This news release contains "forward-looking information" within the meaning of the applicable Canadian securities legislation that is based on expectations, estimates, projections and interpretations as at the date of this news release. Any statement that involves discussions with respect to predictions, expectations, interpretations, beliefs, plans, projections, objectives, assumptions, future events or performance (often but not always using phrases such as "expects", or "does not expect", "is expected", "interpreted", "management's view", "anticipates" or "does not anticipate", "plans", "budget", "scheduled", "forecasts", "estimates", "believes" or "intends" or variations of such words and phrases or stating that certain actions, events or results "may" or "could", "would", "might" or "will" be taken to occur or be achieved) are not statements of historical fact and may be forward-looking information and are intended to identify forward-looking information. This forward-looking information is based on reasonable assumptions and estimates of management of the Company at the time such assumptions and estimates were made, and involves known and unknown risks, uncertainties and other factors which may cause the actual results, performance or achievements of Honey Badger to be materially different from any future results, performance or achievements expressed or implied by such forward-looking information.
Such factors include, but are not limited to, risks relating to capital and operating costs varying significantly from estimates; delays in obtaining or failures to obtain required governmental, environmental or other project approvals; uncertainties relating to the availability and costs of financing needed in the future; changes in equity markets; inflation; fluctuations in commodity prices; delays in the development of projects; other risks involved in the mineral exploration and development industry; and those risks set out in the Company's public documents filed on SEDAR+ (www.sedarplus.ca) under Honey Badger's issuer profile. Although the Company believes that the assumptions and factors used in preparing the forward-looking information in this news release are reasonable, undue reliance should not be placed on such information, which only applies as of the date of this news release, and no assurance can be given that such events will occur in the disclosed timeframes or at all. The Company disclaims any intention or obligation to update or revise any forward-looking information, whether as a result of new information, future events or otherwise, other than as required by law.
To view the source version of this press release, please visit https://www.newsfilecorp.com/release/200810
Forsys Metals Corp
Figure 1
Permits obtained
TORONTO, March 07, 2024 (GLOBE NEWSWIRE) — Forsys Metals Corp. (TSX: FSY) (FSE: F2T) (NSX: FSY) (“Forsys” or the “Company”) is pleased to announce that the Ministry of Mines and Energy of the Republic of Namibia (“Ministry”) has renewed the Company’s Namibplaas Exclusive Prospecting License (“EPL”)– 3638, that forms part of its Norasa Uranium Project (“Norasa1”).
This licence has been renewed for a further two years until February 2026. In September 2022 Forsys has also made an application to the Ministry to convert EPL-3638 to a full 25-year Mining Licence (“ML"), and this submission is pending as ML-251. EPL-3638 remains in good standing while the Ministry processes Forsys’ ML-251 submission.
“EPL-3638 covers a strategic land position with significant exploration upside,” commented Pine Van Wyk, Forsys’ In-Country Director. “We greatly appreciate the Ministry’s continued support as we accelerate development of the Norasa project and continue to work closely with the Ministry in obtaining the ML.”
Permits obtained
Figure 1: Permits obtained
_________________________________1 The Norasa Uranium Project (“Norasa“) is wholly-owned by the Company’s 100% subsidiary Valencia Uranium (Pty) Ltd. (“Valencia Uranium”) and comprises the Valencia uranium deposits (held under ML-149) ("Valencia”) and the Namibplaas uranium deposit (under EPL-3638, application for ML-251) (“Nambiplaas”).
About Forsys Metals Corp.
Forsys Metals Corp. (TSX: FSY, FSE: F2T, NSX: FSY) is an emerging uranium developer focused on advancing its wholly-owned Norasa Uranium Project, located in the politically friendly jurisdiction of Namibia, Africa. The Norasa Uranium Project is comprised of the Valencia Uranium deposit (ML-149) and the nearby Namibplaas Uranium deposit (EPL-3638).
Further information is available at the Company website www.forsysmetals.com
On behalf of the Board of Directors of Forsys Metals Corp. Richard Parkhouse, Director, Investor Relations.
For additional information please contact: Richard Parkhouse, Director, Investor Relationsemail: rparkhouse@forsysmetals.com
Forward Looking Statement
Certain information contained in this press release constitutes "forward-looking information", within the meaning of Canadian legislation. Generally, these forward-looking statements can be identified by the use of forward-looking terminology such as "plans", "expects" or "does not expect", "is expected", "budget", "scheduled", "estimates", "forecasts", "intends", "anticipates" or "does not anticipate", or "believes", or variations of such words and phrases or state that certain actions, events or results "may", "could", "would", "might" or "will be taken", "occur", "be achieved" or "has the potential to". Forward looking statements contained in this press release are qualified in their entirety by the inherent risks and uncertainties surrounding future expectations. Among those factors which could cause actual results to differ materially are the following: market conditions and other risk factors listed from time to time in our reports filed with Canadian securities regulators on SEDAR at www.sedar+.com. The forward-looking statements included in this press release are made as of the date of this press release and Forsys Metals Corp disclaim any intention or obligation to update or revise any forward-looking statements, whether as a result of new information, future events or otherwise, except as expressly required by applicable securities legislation.
A photo accompanying this announcement is available at https://www.globenewswire.com/NewsRoom/AttachmentNg/9390ef6c-7a69-4f1a-9a4f-a91f49d22e5f
(Adds details)
March 6 (Reuters) – Sprott Asset Management has launched a Copper Miners exchange-traded fund (ETF), with Freeport-McMoRan, Antofagasta and Southern Copper Corp as its top holdings by weight, it said on Wednesday.
The fund is the most recent addition to its suite of critical materials-focused ETFs – baskets of securities that can be bought and sold like individual stocks.
It is its second copper mining fund, joining the Sprott Junior Copper Miners ETF (COPJ) launched in February 2023.
"The Sprott Copper Miners ETF seeks to provide investment results that, before fees and expenses, correspond generally to the total return performance of the Nasdaq Sprott Copper Miners," the company said in a release.
Copper prices are little changed overall this year, held in check by concerns over the property sector in major consumer China.
Helped by a weaker dollar and declining exchange stockpiles, three-month copper on the London Metal Exchange (LME) was up 1% at $8,574 per metric ton by the European midafternoon on Wednesday. (Reporting by Ashitha Shivaprasad in Bengaluru; Editing by Jan Harvey)
Vancouver, British Columbia–(Newsfile Corp. – March 6, 2024) – Flying Nickel Mining Corp. (TSXV: FLYN) (OTCQB: FLYNF) ("Flying Nickel" or the "Company") announces that its board of directors has approved the grant of incentive stock options (the "Options") to certain officers to acquire a total of 200,000 common shares in the capital of the Company at an exercise price of $0.06. All Options were granted pursuant to the Company's 10% rolling stock option plan (the "Plan") and are subject to the terms of the Plan, the applicable grant agreements and the requirements of the TSX-V. The Options are exercisable for a five-year term expiring March 6, 2029. The Options will vest at 12.5% per quarter for the first two years following the grant date starting on June 6, 2024.
Flying Nickel and Nevada Vanadium Mining Corp. ("Nevada Vanadium") also announce that further to their joint press releases dated October 5, 2022 and August 23, 2022, Flying Nickel and Nevada Vanadium continue to work diligently with their respective advisors towards completion of the proposed acquisition of all of the issued and outstanding common shares of Nevada Vanadium by Flying Nickel by way of a court-approved plan of arrangement (the "Transaction"). Flying Nickel and Nevada Vanadium expect to update the closing schedule in April 2024.
About Flying Nickel
Flying Nickel Mining Corp. is a nickel sulphide mining and exploration company. The company is advancing its 100% owned Minago nickel project in the Thompson nickel belt in Manitoba, Canada.
Further information on the Company can be found at www.flynickel.com.
FLYING NICKEL MINING CORP.
ON BEHALF OF THE BOARD
John LeeChief Executive Officer
For more information about the Company, please contact:Phone: Phone: 1.877.664.2535 / 1.877.6NICKELEmail: info@flynickel.com
Neither TSX Venture Exchange nor its Regulation Services Provider (as that term is defined in policies of the TSX Venture Exchange) accepts responsibility for the adequacy or accuracy of this release.
Cautionary Note Regarding Forward-Looking Statements
Certain statements contained in this news release, including statements which may contain words such as "expects", "anticipates", "intends", "plans", "believes", "estimates", or similar expressions, and statements related to matters which are not historical facts, are forward-looking information within the meaning of applicable securities laws. Such forward-looking statements, which reflect management's expectations regarding the Company's future growth, results of operations, performance, business prospects and opportunities, are based on certain factors and assumptions and involve known and unknown risks and uncertainties which may cause the actual results, performance, or achievements to be materially different from future results, performance, or achievements expressed or implied by such forward-looking statements. Forward-looking information in this news release includes the expected timing to determine the closing schedule for the Company's prosed merger with Flying Nickel by plan of arrangement (the "Proposed Transaction").
Forward-looking statements involve significant risks and uncertainties, and should not be read as guarantees of future performance, events or results, and may not be indicative of whether such events or results will actually be achieved. A number of risks and other factors could cause actual results to differ materially from expected results discussed in the forward-looking statements, including but not limited to: changes in business plans; ability to secure sufficient financing to advance the Company's project, ability to complete the Proposed Transaction, as announced by press releases on October 5 and August 23, 2022 (collectively, the "Joint News Releases"), and unanticipated delays to the timing for closing; and general market, industry and economic conditions. See the Joint News Releases for further details about the Proposed Transaction and its associated risks. Further details about the risk factors concerning the Proposed Transaction are set out in such news releases. Additional risk factors are set out in the Company's latest annual and interim management's discussion and analysis, available on SEDAR+ at www.sedarplus.ca.
Forward-looking statements are based on reasonable assumptions by management as of the date of this news release, and there can be no assurance that actual results will be consistent with any forward-looking statements included herein. Readers are cautioned that all forward looking statements in this news release are made as of the date of this news release. The Company undertakes no obligation to update or revise any forward-looking statements in this news release to reflect circumstances or events that occur after the date of this news release, except as required by applicable securities laws.
To view the source version of this press release, please visit https://www.newsfilecorp.com/release/200553
White Rock, British Columbia–(Newsfile Corp. – March 5, 2024) – Honey Badger Silver Inc. (TSXV: TUF) ("Honey Badger" or the "Company"), announces the acquisition of additional claims adjacent to its wholly owned Plata Project in the Yukon Territory. Recent compilation work on the Company's Plata Project has confirmed similarities to the adjacent exciting Rogue Project owned by Snowline Gold. Rogue appears to be one of the most exciting and potentially one of the largest recent mineral discoveries anywhere in the world.
Honey Badger's CEO, Dorian L. (Dusty) Nicol, commented, "Plata hosts spectacular high grade silver mineralization, traditionally interpreted as a Keno Hill analogue. Recent mapping and compilation work confirm the similarity of Plata geology to the geologic setting at Snowline Gold's adjacent Rogue Project where, about 30km east of Plata at the Valley discovery, recent drilling has intersected exceptional gold intercepts such as 2.48 gpt Au over 553.8 meters. Geologic mapping during the last field season led to our current interpretation of Plata as being related to the same style of mineralization ("Reduced Intrusion Related Gold System" or RIRGS) as at Valley. Our observations at Plata fit into a mineralization zoning model indicating that surface vein mineralization at Plata is the periphery of a RIRGS mineralizing system. This significantly expands the discovery potential at Plata. Our new claims cover a geophysical magnetic low which we interpret as representing a possible buried intrusion that fed the mineralizing system."
The new claims are adjacent to the Plata Project, comprise 69 individual claims covering 1,430 hectares, and cover the heart of the geophysical magnetic low (See Figure 1).
Figure 1
To view an enhanced version of this graphic, please visit:https://images.newsfilecorp.com/files/3204/200425_7d8090940452ea9f_001full.jpg
Figure 2
To view an enhanced version of this graphic, please visit:https://images.newsfilecorp.com/files/3204/200425_7d8090940452ea9f_002full.jpg
Figure 2 shows the location of the Plata claims in relation to Snowline's Rogue Project.
The claims were staked by ECEE Money Ltd. ("ECEE"), a private corporation controlled by W. Douglas Eaton, a former director of Honey Badger, with the concurrence and knowledge of Honey Badger. ECEE has transferred ownership of the claims to Honey Badger at no cost, subject to a 2% net smelter royalty ("NSR") on future commercial gold production. The NSR applies only to gold.
Qualified Person
Technical information in this news release has been approved by Dorian L. (Dusty) Nicol, the Company's CEO (PG, FAusIMM), who is a Qualified Person ("QP") for the purpose of National Instrument 43-101.
About Honey Badger Silver Inc.
Honey Badger Silver is a silver company. The company is led by a highly experienced leadership team with a track record of value creation backed by a skilled technical team. Our projects are located in areas with a long history of mining, including the Sunrise Lake project with a historic resource of 12.8 Moz of silver Indicated and 13.9 Moz of silver Inferred (1)(3) located in the Northwest Territories and the Plata high grade silver project located 165 km east of Yukon's prolific Keno Hill and adjacent to Snowline Gold's Rogue discovery. The Company's Clear Lake Project in the Yukon Territory has a historic resource of 5.5 Moz of silver and 1.3 billion pounds of zinc (2)(3). The Company also has a significant land holding at the Nanisivik Mine Area located in Nunavut, Canada that produced over 20 Moz of silver between 1976 and 2002. (2,3)
(1) Sunrise Lake 2003 RPA historic resource: Indicated 1.522 million tonnes grading 262 grams/tonne silver, 6.0% zinc, 2.4% lead, 0.08% copper, and 0.67 grams/tonne gold and Inferred 2.555 million tonnes grading 169 grams/tonne silver, 4.4% zinc, 1.9% lead, 0.07% copper, and 0.51 grams/tonne gold.(2) Clear Lake 2010 SRK historic Resource: Inferred 7.76 million tonnes grading 22 grams/tonne silver, 7.6% zinc, and 1.08% lead.(3) Geological Survey of Canada, 2002-C22, "Structural and Stratigraphic Controls on Zn-Pb-Ag Mineralization at the Nanisivik Mississippi Valley type Deposit, Northern Baffin Island, Nunavut; by Patterson and Powis."(4) A qualified person has not done sufficient work to classify this historic tonnage estimate as a current mineral resource and the Company is not treating the estimate as a current mineral resource. The historic tonnage estimate cannot be relied upon. Additional work, including verification drilling / sampling, will be required to verify the estimate as a current mineral resource.
ON BEHALF OF THE BOARD
Dorian L. (Dusty) Nicol, CEO
For more information please visit our website www.honeybadgersilver.com or contact Ms. Michelle Savella for Investor Relations | msavella@honeybadgersilver.com | +1 (604) 828-5886.
Neither the TSX Venture Exchange nor its Regulation Services Provider (as that term is defined in the policies of the TSX Venture Exchange) accepts responsibility for the adequacy or accuracy of this release.Cautionary Note Regarding Forward-Looking Information
This news release contains "forward-looking information" within the meaning of the applicable Canadian securities legislation that is based on expectations, estimates, projections and interpretations as at the date of this news release. Any statement that involves discussions with respect to predictions, expectations, interpretations, beliefs, plans, projections, objectives, assumptions, future events or performance (often but not always using phrases such as "expects", or "does not expect", "is expected", "interpreted", "management's view", "anticipates" or "does not anticipate", "plans", "budget", "scheduled", "forecasts", "estimates", "believes" or "intends" or variations of such words and phrases or stating that certain actions, events or results "may" or "could", "would", "might" or "will" be taken to occur or be achieved) are not statements of historical fact and may be forward-looking information and are intended to identify forward-looking information. This forward-looking information is based on reasonable assumptions and estimates of management of the Company at the time such assumptions and estimates were made, and involves known and unknown risks, uncertainties and other factors which may cause the actual results, performance or achievements of Honey Badger to be materially different from any future results, performance or achievements expressed or implied by such forward-looking information.
Such factors include, but are not limited to, risks relating to capital and operating costs varying significantly from estimates; delays in obtaining or failures to obtain required governmental, environmental or other project approvals; uncertainties relating to the availability and costs of financing needed in the future; changes in equity markets; inflation; fluctuations in commodity prices; delays in the development of projects; other risks involved in the mineral exploration and development industry; and those risks set out in the Company's public documents filed on SEDAR+ (www.sedarplus.ca) under Honey Badger's issuer profile. Although the Company believes that the assumptions and factors used in preparing the forward-looking information in this news release are reasonable, undue reliance should not be placed on such information, which only applies as of the date of this news release, and no assurance can be given that such events will occur in the disclosed timeframes or at all. The Company disclaims any intention or obligation to update or revise any forward-looking information, whether as a result of new information, future events or otherwise, other than as required by law.
To view the source version of this press release, please visit https://www.newsfilecorp.com/release/200425
By Rod Nickel
WINNIPEG, Manitoba (Reuters) -BHP has signed non-binding sales agreements for all potash production from both phases of the Canadian mine it is building, and will look to convert those into firm offtakes within 12-18 months, a senior executive told Reuters.
BHP Chief Commercial Officer Ragnar Udd also said the company is not interested in acquiring the idled Cobre Panama copper mine from First Quantum Minerals.
Australia-based BHP's entry into selling potash is expected to shake up the global fertilizer market, which producers in Canada, Belarus and Russia dominate. Fertilizer is a key input for farmers to boost yields of crops such as corn.
BHP expects to begin production at Jansen, Saskatchewan in late 2026, ramping up to 4.35 million metric tons annually. A second phase approved by BHP will boost yearly output to 8.5 million tons, expanding global supply by roughly 10%.
BHP plans to sell potash to distributors, rather than directly to companies that re-sell the fertilizer to farmers, Udd said, declining to name the companies.
BHP has not previously disclosed the sales agreements or how it will market its potash.
Selling to distributors reflects the fact that BHP does not own a potash distribution network and allows it to focus on what it is best at – production, Udd said in an interview.
"A lot of the feedback we've had from customers is how thrilled they are to be seeing a new reliable, stable form of supply coming in from an industry player that's well-known," Udd said.
BHP will turn tentative sales into binding contracts – typically lasting one year – as production comes online, with the first likely in late 2025 or early 2026, Udd said.
BHP will provide stiff competition to Nutrien, Mosaic, Belaruskali and Uralkali. The company's entry may initially be "quite destructive" to prices, said Humphrey Knight, principal analyst of potash and phosphates at consultancy CRU.
Selling to distributors runs counter to how BHP usually operates, controlling much of the supply chain itself, Knight said.
The U.S. is the prime market for Canadian potash due to its proximity, but it has been difficult to penetrate for another producer, Germany's K+S AG, Knight said.
Udd said he would not give specifics about BHP's U.S. plan but said it is "quite comfortable" with its ability to compete there.
BHP, best-known for mining iron ore, copper, nickel and metallurgical coal, is not interested in acquiring First Quantum's Cobre Panama, one of the world's largest open-pit copper mines, which was forced to shut down in December after Panama's top court ruled that its contract was unconstitutional.
"Honestly, while we're always looking for opportunities, I think that's a situation best left for Panama and others," Udd said.
(Reporting by Rod Nickel in Winnipeg; additional reporting by Divya Rajagopal in Toronto, Editing by Franklin Paul)
(Bloomberg) — Iron ore behemoth Fortescue Ltd.’s months-long stock rally suffered a big pullback in February as investors turned sour on the company’s earnings growth and high exposure to slumping metal prices amid China’s rocky recovery.
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The world’s fourth-largest iron ore miner is tipped for the greatest earnings slowdown over the next year compared with peers BHP Group Ltd., Rio Tinto Group and Vale SA, according to data compiled by Bloomberg. Shares of the Australian firm founded by billionaire Andrew Forrest have surged almost 30% in the past six months, outpacing peers. But since the start of this year, shares have tumbled alongside iron ore, one of 2024’s worst-performing major commodities.
As a relatively high-cost producer, the miner is more sensitive to iron ore price swings compared to peers, according to Mohsen Crofts, a Bloomberg Intelligence analyst based in Sydney.
“Fortescue’s operating margins are slimmer than BHP or Rio Tinto’s. Any change in the iron ore price will therefore have a greater Ebitda impact for Fortescue,” he said. “While BHP and Rio now get a material share of their revenue from base metals, Fortescue is for now still fully reliant on iron ore.”
The metal makes up about 91% of Fortescue’s revenue, compared to about half for BHP and Rio Tinto, according to Bloomberg-compiled data. Fortescue’s iron ore business propped up its half-year earnings released in February, bucking a trend of declining profits among its diversified rivals. But now Fortescue’s earnings growth is in doubt, with analyst estimates suggesting 14% downside for next year, the worst among its peers.
Read: Fortescue’s Profit Jump Defies Downturn for Mining Rivals
The Perth-based miner’s bumper stock run has also been halted by dwindling metal prices. China’s property woes have weighed on the steelmaking ingredient, which lost 10% last month. Post-Lunar New Year demand for iron ore remains disappointing amid a slow recovery to construction activities, wintry conditions and sluggish home buying.
“While Fortescue has benefited from significant unit cost reductions, cost inflation is kicking in now,” Jefferies analysts led by Mitch Ryan wrote in a note dated Feb. 28, downgrading the miner to underperform from hold after earnings. “While we believe management has done an excellent job operationally, Fortescue’s share price will be highly dependent on the iron ore price.”
The stock has no buy ratings and an average 12-month price target that’s 16% below Friday’s close, according to data compiled by Bloomberg. Meanwhile, price targets for rivals BHP, Rio Tinto and Vale all point to potential upside.
Still, the stock slump isn’t unique to Fortescue. Miners are the biggest laggards on the Australian benchmark this year as commodity prices from iron ore to lithium and nickel crater. Fortescue has fallen 10% so far this year, with BHP and Rio posting similar drops.
Despite lackluster demand in recent weeks from China, the world’s largest steel manufacturer, analysts expect iron ore futures to regain lost ground in the short and midterm. UBS Group AG, which has a sell rating on Fortescue, estimates the metal’s price will trade around $120 a ton for the remainder of 2024 before a plateau. Demand will be propped up by a growing appetite in India and Southeast Asia thereafter.
“We’ve always said that we would see China steel demand peaking, and it’s exactly what we’ve said,” Rio Tinto Chief Financial Officer Peter Cunningham said in an analyst call last month. “Then you just see demand from elsewhere in Asean and in India growing as well. So, I think all of this is playing out exactly pretty much as we thought it would play out over time.”
–With assistance from Liz Yee Xing Ng.
(Updates with share performance in ninth paragraph)
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Goliath Resources Limited
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HIGHLIGHTS:
Generation of the updated structural vein/shear Leap Frog model takes into consideration all the surface and drill data collected (incl. oriented core) as well as the number of mineralized pierce points in each vein to date on the Surebet Discovery. This has resulted in an advanced understanding of the mineralized zones that remain open at Surebet, where 10 veins have now been confirmed, including Surebet (now Surebet Upper), Bonanza and Golden Gate; now two stacked Upper and Lower parallel veins (see images below).
An accompanying infographic is available at: https://www.globenewswire.com/NewsRoom/AttachmentNg/82cf14d6-3075-44eb-9016-333a9db5ffaf
An accompanying infographic is available at: https://www.globenewswire.com/NewsRoom/AttachmentNg/926ff0d0-ac52-4d17-b345-9a24d3921cf2
An accompanying infographic is available at: https://www.globenewswire.com/NewsRoom/AttachmentNg/c7dbf39d-8147-43fb-9d21-e6d2badeda4e
The volume of the Surebet Zone (now Surebet Upper) hosted in the sedimentary units shows a potential range of 28 – 35 million tonnes based on 108 mineralized pierce points that has widths up to 35 meters at 24.44 g/t AuEq. In addition, a secondary vein located approximately 15 meters below Surebet Upper and parallel to it, has been identified shows a potential range of 5 – 7 million tonnes based on 54 mineralized pierce points that has widths of up to 6 meters at 11.94 g/t AuEq. This new vein is named Surebet Lower and remains open.
The volume of the Bonanza Shear is showing a potential range of 12 – 16 million tonnes based on 52 mineralized pierce points that have widths up to 10 meters at 27.94 g/t AuEq, including 3 meters at 46.04 g/t AuEq hosted at the contact between sedimentary rocks and now showing it continues into the volcanic rocks; it remains open.
The volume of the Golden Gate Zone is showing a potential range of 4 – 5 million tonnes based on 52 mineralized pierce points that has widths up to 3 meters at 8.46 g/t AuEq and 3 meters at 22.07 g/t AuEq for the two identified parallel veins Upper and Lower hosted in the volcanic units respectively; they remain open.
The updated structural model has identified six new gold veins that remain open showing potential volume ranges:
Big One (12 – 15 Mt) based on 51 mineralized pierce points that has widths of up to 3 meters at 6.75 g/t AuEq.
Eldorado (8 – 11 Mt) based on 57 mineralized pierce points that has widths of up to 3 meters at 11.39 g/t AuEq.
Surebet Lower (5 – 7 Mt) based on 54 mineralized pierce points that has widths of up to 6 meters at 11.94 g/t AuEq.
Goldzilla (4 – 5 Mt) based on 24 mineralized pierce points that has widths of up to 3 meters at 4.55 g/t AuEq.
Hotspot (2 – 3 Mt) based on 7 mineralized pierce points that has widths of up to 1 meter at 1.00 g/t AuEq.
Whopper (1 – 2 Mt) based on 27 mineralized pierce points that has widths of up to 4 meters at 13.60 g/t AuEq.
The total combined volume ranges from the 10 veins shows 78 – 97 million in potential tonnes.
The advanced structural model based on all drilling to date has confirmed key areas where further drilling could provide additional continuation of the extension of mineralized horizons as well as vectoring in on the possible mineralized feeder source.
Detailed surface mapping of the Surebet area also has played a major role in clearly defining the structural controls on the vein and consequently the gold mineralization (see image below).
An accompanying infographic is available at: https://www.globenewswire.com/NewsRoom/AttachmentNg/25b2d0e7-69fb-420e-bfb2-39e18b60835e
TORONTO, March 04, 2024 (GLOBE NEWSWIRE) — Goliath Resources Limited (TSX-V: GOT) (OTCQB: GOTRF) (FSE: B4IF) (the “Company” or “Goliath”) is please to share a significant update on the work being carried out on the Surebet Discovery at its 100% controlled Golddigger Property (the “Property”), Golden Triangle, British Columbia. The Company has updated the structural vein model of the Surebet Discovery that integrates drill data from the 2021 to 2023 (oriented core), all the surface data collected and the total number of mineralized pierce points in each vein to date. The new model suggests a total combined range of 78 to 97 million potential tonnes. In addition to the previously reported Surebet Zone, Bonanza Shear and Golden Gate Zone, 6 newly discovered gold veins have been identified that also remain open.
The updated structural vein/shear model resulted in a greater understanding of the mineralized zones on the Surebet Discovery, where 10 veins have now been identified, including Surebet (now Upper Surebet), Bonanza Shear and Golden Gate (now Upper and Lower veins).
The 6 newly identified veins include: Big One, Eldorado, Surebet Lower, Goldzilla, Hotspot, and Whopper. The new structural model was built taking into consideration the structural data obtained from oriented drill core collected between 2021 and 2023, structural information from surface sampling and mapping as well as the number of mineralized pierce points in each vein and their locations.
They are the result of incorporating a number of mineralized intervals that were not previously associated with Surebet Zone, Bonanza Shear and Golden Gate Zone as well as some mineralized intervals that have been re-assigned based on new structural information. Detailed surface mapping of the Surebet area also has played a major role in clearly defining the structural controls on the veins and consequently the gold mineralization.
The advanced structural model together with information from detailed surficial mapping has vectored in on the key areas where drilling should provide additional continuation and extension of gold mineralized horizons focussed on building estimated ranges of potential tonnage moving forward.
The Company is in the process of designing a highly focussed drill program for the 2024 drill season. It’s designed to delineate the full extent of gold mineralization, expand the potential tonnage which remains wide open for expansion and additional discoveries as well as vectoring in on the possible feeder source. In addition, the Golddigger 2024 drill program may include a maiden drill program on the newly discovered Treasure Island and Full Contact targets on the Cambria Icefield claims to the north of Surebet.
Golddigger Property
The Golddigger Property is 100% controlled covering an area of 64,264 hectares (158,800 acres) and is in the world class geological setting of the Eskay Rift within the Golden Triangle of British Columbia and within 3 kilometers of the ‘Red Line’ that is host to multiple world class deposits.
The Surebet discovery has exceptional metallurgy with gold recoveries of 92.2% inclusive of 48.8% free gold from gravity alone at a 327-micrometer crush (no deleterious elements and no cyanide required to recover the gold based on metallurgical work completed to date).
It is in an excellent location in close proximity to the communities of Alice Arm and Kitsault where there is a permitted mill site on private property. It is situated on tide water with direct barge access to Prince Rupert (190 kilometers via the Observatory inlet/Portland inlet). The town of Kitsault is accessible by road (190 kilometers from Terrace, 300 kilometers from Prince Rupert) and has a barge landing, dock, and infrastructure capable of housing at least 300 people, including high-tension power.
Additional infrastructure in the area includes the Dolly Varden Silver Mine Road (only 7 kilometers to the East of the Surebet discovery) with direct road access to Alice Arm barge landing (18 kilometers to the south of the Surebet discovery) and high-tension power (25 kilometers to the East of Surebet discovery). The city of Terrace (population 16,000) provides access to railway, major highways, and airport with supplies (food, fuel, lumber, etc.), while the town of Prince Rupert (population 12,000) is located on the west coast and houses an international container seaport also with direct access to railway and an airport with supplies.
Qualified Person
Rein Turna P. Geo is the qualified person as defined by National Instrument 43-101, for Goliath Resource Limited projects, and supervised the preparation of, and has reviewed and approved, the technical information in this release.
Other
The potential quantity and grade ranges are conceptual in nature, and that there has been insufficient exploration to define a mineral resource and that it is uncertain if further exploration will result in the Surebet Discovery being delineated as a NI 43-101 compliant mineral resource and is subject to change. Goliath’s conceptual Leap Frog structural vein/shear model takes into consideration and is based on: all structural data collected from surface and logged drill core (incl. oriented core), specific gravity (SG) of 2.93 x cubic meters from the area drilled, weighted average of all mineralized grades/widths from all 222 diamond drill hole pierce points assayed inclusive of the 2023 program.
Oriented HQ-diameter or NQ-diameter diamond drill core from the drill campaign is placed in core boxes by the drill crew contracted by the Company. Core boxes are transported by helicopter to the staging area, and then transported by truck to the core shack. The core is then re-orientated, meterage blocks are checked, meter marks are labelled, Recovery and RQD measurements taken, and primary bedding and secondary structural features including veins, dykes, cleavage, and shears are noted and measured. The core is then described and transcribed in MX DepositTM. Drill holes were planned using Leapfrog GeoTM and QGISTM software and data from the 2017-2022 exploration campaigns. Drill core containing quartz breccia, stockwork, veining and/or sulphide(s), or notable alteration are sampled in lengths of 0.5 to 1.5 meters. Core samples are cut lengthwise in half, one-half remains in the box and the other half is inserted in a clean plastic bag with a sample tag. Standards, blanks and duplicates were added in the sample stream at a rate of 10%.
Grab, channels, chip, and talus samples were collected by foot with helicopter assistance. Prospective areas included, but were not limited to, proximity to MINFile locations, placer creek occurrences, regional soil anomalies, and potential gossans based on high-resolution satellite imagery. The rock grab and chip samples were extracted using a rock hammer, or hammer and chisel to expose fresh surfaces and to liberate a sample of anywhere between 0.5 to 5.0 kilograms. All sample sites were flagged with biodegradable flagging tape and marked with the sample number. All sample sites were recorded using hand-held GPS units (accuracy 3-10 meters) and sample ID, easting, northing, elevation, type of sample (outcrop, subcrop, float, talus, chip, grab, etc.) and a description of the rock were recorded on all-weather paper. Samples were then inserted in a clean plastic bag with a sample tag for transport and shipping to the geochemistry lab. QA/QC samples including blanks, standards, and duplicate samples were inserted regularly into the sample sequence at a rate of 10%.
All samples are transported in rice bags sealed with numbered security tags. A transport company takes them from the core shack to the ALS labs facilities in North Vancouver. ALS is either certified to ISO 9001:2008 or accredited to ISO 17025:2005 in all of its locations. At ALS samples were processed, dried, crushed, and pulverized before analysis using the ME-MS61 and Au-SCR21 methods. For the ME-MS61 method, a prepared sample is digested with perchloric, nitric, hydrofluoric, and hydrochloric acids. The residue is topped up with dilute hydrochloric acid and analyzed by inductively coupled plasma atomic emission spectrometry. Overlimits were re-analyzed using the ME-OG62 and Ag-GRA21 methods (gravimetric finish). For Au-SCR21 a large volume of sample is needed (typically 1-3kg). The sample is crushed and screened (usually to -106 micron) to separate coarse gold particles from fine material. After screening, two aliquots of the fine fraction are analysed using the traditional fire assay method. The fine fraction is expected to be reasonably homogenous and well represented by the duplicate analyses. The entire coarse fraction is assayed to determine the contribution of the coarse gold.
The reader is cautioned that grab samples are spot samples which are typically, but not exclusively, constrained to mineralization. Grab samples are selective in nature and collected to determine the presence or absence of mineralization and are not intended to be representative of the material sampled.
About Goliath Resources Limited
Goliath Resources Limited is an explorer of precious metals projects in the prolific Golden Triangle of northwestern British Columbia and Abitibi Greenstone Belt of Quebec. All of its projects are in world class geological settings and geopolitical safe jurisdictions amenable to mining in Canada.
For more information please contact: Goliath Resources Limited Mr. Roger Rosmus Founder and CEO Tel: +1.416.488.2887roger@goliathresources.com www.goliathresourcesltd.com
Widths are reported in drill core lengths and the true widths are estimated to be 80-90% and AuEq metal values are calculated using: Au 1924.79 USD/oz, Ag 22.76 USD/oz, Cu 3.75 USD/lbs, Pb 2128.75 USD/ton and Zn 2468.50 USD/ton on December 23, 2023. There is potential for economic recovery of gold, silver, copper, lead, and zinc from these occurrences based on other mining and exploration projects in the same Golden Triangle Mining Camp where Goliath’s project is located such as the Homestake Ridge Gold Project (Auryn Resources Technical Report, Updated Mineral Resource Estimate and Preliminary Economic Assessment on the Homestake Ridge Gold Project, prepared by Minefill Services Inc. Bothell, Washington, dated May 29, 2020). Here, AuEq values were calculated using 3-year running averages for metal price, and included provisions for metallurgical recoveries, treatment charges, refining costs, and transportation. Recoveries for Gold were 85.5%, Silver at 74.6%, Copper at 74.6% and Lead at 45.3%. It will be assumed that Zinc can be recovered with the Copper at the same recovery rate of 74.6%. The quoted reference of metallurgical recoveries is not from Goliath’s Golddigger Project, Surebet Zone mineralization, and there is no guarantee that such recoveries will ever be achieved, unless detailed metallurgical work such as in a Feasibility Study can be eventually completed on the Golddigger Project.
Neither the TSX Venture Exchange nor its Regulation Services Provider (as that term is defined in the policies of the TSX Venture Exchange), nor the OTCQB Venture Market accepts responsibility for the adequacy or accuracy of this release.
Certain statements contained in this press release constitute forward-looking information. These statements relate to future events or future performance. The use of any of the words "could", "intend", "expect", "believe", "will", "projected", "estimated" and similar expressions and statements relating to matters that are not historical facts are intended to identify forward-looking information and are based on Goliath’s current belief or assumptions as to the outcome and timing of such future events. Actual future results may differ materially. In particular, this release contains forward-looking information relating to, among other things, the ability of the Company to complete financings and its ability to build value for its shareholders as it develops its mining properties. Various assumptions or factors are typically applied in drawing conclusions or making the forecasts or projections set out in forward-looking information. Those assumptions and factors are based on information currently available to Goliath. Although such statements are based on management's reasonable assumptions, there can be no assurance that the proposed transactions will occur, or that if the proposed transactions do occur, will be completed on the terms described above.
The forward-looking information contained in this release is made as of the date hereof and Goliath is not obligated to update or revise any forward-looking information, whether as a result of new information, future events or otherwise, except as required by applicable securities laws. Because of the risks, uncertainties and assumptions contained herein, investors should not place undue reliance on forward-looking information. The foregoing statements expressly qualify any forward-looking information contained herein.
This announcement does not constitute an offer, invitation, or recommendation to subscribe for or purchase any securities and neither this announcement nor anything contained in it shall form the basis of any contract or commitment. In particular, this announcement does not constitute an offer to sell, or a solicitation of an offer to buy, securities in the United States, or in any other jurisdiction in which such an offer would be illegal.
The securities referred to herein have not been and will not be will not be registered under the United States Securities Act of 1933, as amended (the “U.S. Securities Act”), or any state securities laws and may not be offered or sold within the United States or to or for the account or benefit of a U.S. person (as defined in Regulation S under the U.S. Securities Act) unless registered under the U.S. Securities Act and applicable state securities laws or an exemption from such registration is available.
NOT FOR DISSEMINATION IN THE UNITED STATES OR FOR DISTRIBUTION TO U.S. NEWSWIRE SERVICES AND DOES NOT CONSTITUTE AN OFFER OF THE SECURITIES DESCRIBED HEREIN.
Key Insights
Institutions' substantial holdings in Forsys Metals implies that they have significant influence over the company's share price
55% of the business is held by the top 3 shareholders
Ownership research, combined with past performance data can help provide a good understanding of opportunities in a stock
A look at the shareholders of Forsys Metals Corp. (TSE:FSY) can tell us which group is most powerful. The group holding the most number of shares in the company, around 47% to be precise, is hedge funds. Put another way, the group faces the maximum upside potential (or downside risk).
Given the vast amount of money and research capacities at their disposal, hedge funds ownership tends to carry a lot of weight, especially with individual investors. Hence, having a considerable amount of institutional money invested in a company is often regarded as a desirable trait.
Let's take a closer look to see what the different types of shareholders can tell us about Forsys Metals.
Check out our latest analysis for Forsys Metals
ownership-breakdownWhat Does The Institutional Ownership Tell Us About Forsys Metals?
Institutions typically measure themselves against a benchmark when reporting to their own investors, so they often become more enthusiastic about a stock once it's included in a major index. We would expect most companies to have some institutions on the register, especially if they are growing.
Forsys Metals already has institutions on the share registry. Indeed, they own a respectable stake in the company. This can indicate that the company has a certain degree of credibility in the investment community. However, it is best to be wary of relying on the supposed validation that comes with institutional investors. They too, get it wrong sometimes. When multiple institutions own a stock, there's always a risk that they are in a 'crowded trade'. When such a trade goes wrong, multiple parties may compete to sell stock fast. This risk is higher in a company without a history of growth. You can see Forsys Metals' historic earnings and revenue below, but keep in mind there's always more to the story.
It looks like hedge funds own 47% of Forsys Metals shares. That worth noting, since hedge funds are often quite active investors, who may try to influence management. Many want to see value creation (and a higher share price) in the short term or medium term. The company's largest shareholder is Leo Fund Managers Limited, with ownership of 30%. In comparison, the second and third largest shareholders hold about 17% and 8.1% of the stock. Additionally, the company's CEO Mark Frewin directly holds 0.6% of the total shares outstanding.
To make our study more interesting, we found that the top 3 shareholders have a majority ownership in the company, meaning that they are powerful enough to influence the decisions of the company.
While studying institutional ownership for a company can add value to your research, it is also a good practice to research analyst recommendations to get a deeper understand of a stock's expected performance. Our information suggests that there isn't any analyst coverage of the stock, so it is probably little known.
Insider Ownership Of Forsys Metals
While the precise definition of an insider can be subjective, almost everyone considers board members to be insiders. Management ultimately answers to the board. However, it is not uncommon for managers to be executive board members, especially if they are a founder or the CEO.
Most consider insider ownership a positive because it can indicate the board is well aligned with other shareholders. However, on some occasions too much power is concentrated within this group.
Shareholders would probably be interested to learn that insiders own shares in Forsys Metals Corp.. In their own names, insiders own CA$2.2m worth of stock in the CA$185m company. This shows at least some alignment, but we usually like to see larger insider holdings. You can click here to see if those insiders have been buying or selling.
General Public Ownership
The general public– including retail investors — own 38% stake in the company, and hence can't easily be ignored. While this group can't necessarily call the shots, it can certainly have a real influence on how the company is run.
Next Steps:
I find it very interesting to look at who exactly owns a company. But to truly gain insight, we need to consider other information, too. For example, we've discovered 1 warning sign for Forsys Metals that you should be aware of before investing here.
Of course, you might find a fantastic investment by looking elsewhere. So take a peek at this free list of interesting companies.
NB: Figures in this article are calculated using data from the last twelve months, which refer to the 12-month period ending on the last date of the month the financial statement is dated. This may not be consistent with full year annual report figures.
Have feedback on this article? Concerned about the content? Get in touch with us directly. Alternatively, email editorial-team (at) simplywallst.com.This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.
In this piece, we will take a look at the 12 best battery stocks to invest in before they take off. If you want to skip our covrerage of all the latest developments in the battery and electric vehicle industry, then you can take a look at the 5 Best Battery Stocks To Invest In Before They Take Off.
The global battery industry, 'powered' by lithium is significantly more important in 2024 than it was in 2014. This is because of the success of Tesla, Inc. (NASDAQ:TSLA) in successfully executing electric vehicle mass production has demonstrated to investors that investing in clean energy stocks can yield favorable results and that electric vehicles have the full potential of being a reality instead of something only in the realm of science fiction.
Yet, just as they do on a smartphone or a laptop, batteries also remain one of the weakest links of modern day electric cars. Smartphones, even those from the multi trillion dollar consumer technology behemoth Apple Inc. (NASDAQ:AAPL), see their batteries degrade over time, even as their other components such as the display or processors are able to perform for years. Similarly, the battery of an electric car made by Tesla or other electric vehicle stocks such as Li Auto Inc. (NASDAQ:LI) is not only one of the most vulnerable components of a car but also one that can be in short supply if there are any fluctuations in the global lithium industry.
Naturally, this means that the global battery industry is not only one of the most valuable in the world but also that it has steady growth ahead of it should the world's plans to phase out internal combustion vehicles bear fruit. Estimates show that the global lithium battery industry was worth $54 billion in 2023, but global macroeconomic troubles left in the wake of the coronavirus pandemic have also shaken up the sector by quite a bit. While previously investors of battery stocks had to keep a close eye on China to ensure that the supply chain of their industry was functioning smoothly, as of February 2024, Canada was the world's preeminent battery supply chain according to Bloomberg's data. This is the first time in history that China has been displaced from the top spot, and it follows a growing global shift towards sustainable and ethical battery sourcing.
What does this mean for battery stocks? Well, this is good news for battery stocks that trade in U.S. exchanges in particular, since not only will American automakers be able to rely on Canada for their battery needs, but tax credit incentives under the Biden-Harris Administration's Inflation Reduction Act (IRA) might also extend to batteries and materials sourced from Canada.
However, even though Canada's rising prominence in the global lithium battery supply chain is a tailwind for battery stocks, they have also entered 2024 on an unstable footing. Their primary high growth market, i.e. electric vehicles, has struggled to operate in a high interest rate and inflation era, so much so that the fourth quarter of 2024 saw electric vehicle king Tesla displaced by the Chinese conglomerate BYD Company Limited (OTC:BYDDF). Tesla's Q4 2023 deliveries stood at 484,507 vehicles, while BYD was able to clock 526,409 in sales for its cheaper electric cars. The duo's tryst is a great example of the cutthroat Chinese market which has seen Tesla and BYD reduce their prices and sacrifice margins to gain market share even if their products make fewer cents on the dollar.
This turmoil in the electric vehicle industry is also present in the global lithium market. Lithium and battery stocks such as Lithium Americas Corp. (NYSE:LAC) and Albemarle Corporation (NYSE:ALB) are down by 31% and 19.29% respectively as lithium prices drop by more than 70% on the back of the simultaneous effects of softer demand and rising supply. The lithium and battery stock price drops come just as U.S. oil giant Exxon Mobil Corporation (NYSE:XOM) might also become a battery stock as it is interested in extracting lithium in Arkansas as part of its bid to become one of the world's biggest lithium suppliers by the end of the decade.
So, as the global battery industry starts to evolve in 2024 and respond to changing macroeconomic conditions, we decided to see which battery stocks are finding favor from hedge funds. Some notable picks are EnerSys (NYSE:ENS), SolarEdge Technologies, Inc. (NASDAQ:SEDG), and Tesla, Inc. (NASDAQ:TSLA).
12 Best Battery Stocks To Invest In Before They Take Off
A close-up of a lithium-ion battery surrounded by a network of silicon nanowires.
Our Methodology
To make our list of the best battery stocks to buy, we ranked the U.S. listed battery stock holdings of the Global X Lithium & Battery Tech ETF, and Amplify Lithium & Battery Technology ETF by their year to date share price performance. Then, the stocks that were down year to date were ranked by the number of hedge funds that had bought the shares during Q4 2023 and the top stocks were selected as the best battery stocks.
For these best battery stocks, we have also mentioned hedge fund sentiment. Hedge funds' top 10 consensus stock picks outperformed the S&P 500 Index by more than 140 percentage points over the last 10 years (see the details here). That's why we pay very close attention to this often-ignored indicator.
12 Best Battery Stocks To Invest In Before They Take Off12. Sociedad Química y Minera de Chile S.A. (NYSE:SQM)
Number of Hedge Fund Investors In Q4 2023: 17
YTD Share Price Drop: 26.58%
Sociedad Química y Minera de Chile S.A. (NYSE:SQM) is a Chilean chemical company that supplies cathodes and other battery products to battery manufacturers and other companies. As the global lithium industry slows down, the firm has also struggled on the financial front and missed analyst EPS estimates in three out of its four latest quarters,
For their Q4 2023 shareholdings, 17 out of the 933 hedge funds covered by Insider Monkey's research had bought Sociedad Química y Minera de Chile S.A. (NYSE:SQM)'s shares. Ken Griffin's Citadel Investment Group was the firm's biggest investor courtesy of its $30.4 million stake.
SolarEdge Technologies, Inc. (NASDAQ:SEDG), Sociedad Química y Minera de Chile S.A. (NYSE:SQM), EnerSys (NYSE:ENS), and Tesla, Inc. (NASDAQ:TSLA) are some top battery stocks that hedge funds are piling into.
11. Sigma Lithium Corporation (NASDAQ:SGML)
Number of Hedge Fund Investors In Q4 2023: 18
YTD Share Price Drop: 57.84%
Sigma Lithium Corporation (NASDAQ:SGML) is a Brazilian lithium mining company headquartered in Sao Paulo, Brazil. 2024 is shaping up to be a crucial year for the firm as media reports suggest that Sigma Lithium Corporation (NASDAQ:SGML) and Buffett backed BYD are in talks for deepening their ties.
Insider Monkey's December quarter of 2023 survey covering 933 hedge funds revealed that 18 had held a stake in the firm. Sigma Lithium Corporation (NASDAQ:SGML)'s largest hedge fund investor is Jos Shaver's Electron Capital Partners as it owns $69.7 million worth of shares.
10. Plug Power Inc. (NASDAQ:PLUG)
Number of Hedge Fund Investors In Q4 2023: 19
YTD Share Price Drop: 25.38%
Plug Power Inc. (NASDAQ:PLUG) is an electric vehicle battery technology company that is developing hydrogen based fuel cell systems. Its investors were in for some good news in February 2024 after Roth MKM upgraded the shares to Buy from Hold and increased the share price target to $9 from $4.5.
Insider Monkey took a look at 933 hedge fund portfolios for last year's December quarter and found 19 Plug Power Inc. (NASDAQ:PLUG) shareholders. Vince Maddi and Shawn Brennan's SIR Capital Management owned the biggest stake which was worth $7.7 million.
9. QuantumScape Corporation (NYSE:QS)
Number of Hedge Fund Investors In Q4 2023: 20
YTD Share Price Drop: 5.22%
QuantumScape Corporation (NYSE:QS) is a pure play battery stock that is developing solid state lithium batteries for use in electric vehicles. While the firm's fourth quarter financial results saw it beat analyst loss per share estimates of 34 cents by posting 23 cents in the segment, the shares nevertheless dropped after the results failed to generate any optimism.
By the end of 2023's fourth quarter, 20 out of. the 933 hedge funds tracked by Insider Monkey were the firm's shareholders. QuantumScape Corporation (NYSE:QS)'s largest hedge fund investor is Philippe Laffont's Coatue Management due to its $23.2 million investment.
8. NIO Inc. (NYSE:NIO)
Number of Hedge Fund Investors In Q4 2023: 20
YTD Share Price Drop: 30%
NIO Inc. (NYSE:NIO) is a Chinese electric vehicle company. While we've tried to avoid car makers in this list of the best battery stocks, it deserves a mention since NIO Inc. (NYSE:NIO) plans to soon start making its own 150 kWh batteries later this year.
Insider Monkey's December quarter of 2023 survey covering 933 hedge funds revealed that 20 had invested in NIO Inc. (NYSE:NIO). Out of these, the biggest stakeholder was Jos Shaver's Electron Capital Partners as it owned $40.1 million worth of shares.
7. BHP Group Limited (NYSE:BHP)
Number of Hedge Fund Investors In Q4 2023: 24
YTD Share Price Drop: 14.3%
BHP Group Limited (NYSE:BHP) is crucial to the stability of the battery industry since it is one of the biggest mining companies in the world. When it comes to batteries, the firm is responsible for mining and selling crucial metals such as copper and nickel. Its shares are rated Buy on average and the average analyst share price target is $66.45.
During last year's final quarter, 24 out of the 933 hedge funds covered by Insider Monkey had held a stake in the firm. BHP Group Limited (NYSE:BHP)'s largest hedge fund investor is Ken Fisher's Fisher Asset Management as it owns 19.9 million shares that are worth $1.3 billion.
6. Enovix Corporation (NASDAQ:ENVX)
Number of Hedge Fund Investors In Q4 2023: 25
YTD Share Price Drop: 6.52%
Enovix Corporation (NASDAQ:ENVX) is a pure play battery manufacturer headquartered in Fremont, California. The firm's fourth quarter results weren't helpful for the shares, as they tanked by 2% after Enovix Corporation (NASDAQ:ENVX) reported $7.3 million in revenue and 36 cents loss per share. The revenue beat analyst estimates but the loss per share missed them.
25 out of the 933 hedge funds part of Insider Monkey's Q4 2023 database had invested in Enovix Corporation (NASDAQ:ENVX). Jos Shaver's Electron Capital Partners owned the biggest stake which was worth $40.5 million.
Enovix Corporation (NASDAQ:ENVX) joins EnerSys (NYSE:ENS), SolarEdge Technologies, Inc. (NASDAQ:SEDG), and Tesla, Inc. (NASDAQ:TSLA) in our list of the best battery stocks.
Click here to continue reading and check out 5 Best Battery Stocks To Invest In Before They Take Off.
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Disclosure: None. 12 Best Battery Stocks To Invest In Before They Take Off is originally published on Insider Monkey.
Harmony Gold Mining (JSE:HAR) First Half 2024 ResultsKey Financial Results
Revenue: R31.4b (up 35% from 1H 2023).
Net income: R5.92b (up 222% from 1H 2023).
Profit margin: 19% (up from 7.9% in 1H 2023). The increase in margin was driven by higher revenue.
EPS: R9.56 (up from R2.98 in 1H 2023).
All figures shown in the chart above are for the trailing 12 month (TTM) period
Harmony Gold Mining Earnings Insights
Looking ahead, revenue is forecast to grow 1.1% p.a. on average during the next 3 years, compared to a 2.4% growth forecast for the Metals and Mining industry in South Africa.
Performance of the South African Metals and Mining industry.
The company's shares are up 3.7% from a week ago.
Balance Sheet Analysis
While earnings are important, another area to consider is the balance sheet. We have a graphic representation of Harmony Gold Mining's balance sheet and an in-depth analysis of the company's financial position.
Have feedback on this article? Concerned about the content? Get in touch with us directly. Alternatively, email editorial-team (at) simplywallst.com.This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.
It's been a pretty great week for Aurelia Metals Limited (ASX:AMI) shareholders, with its shares surging 17% to AU$0.14 in the week since its latest half-year results. Results look to have been somewhat negative – revenue fell 7.2% short of analyst estimates at AU$147m, although statutory losses were somewhat better. The per-share loss was AU$0.0012, 91% smaller than the analysts were expecting prior to the result. The analysts typically update their forecasts at each earnings report, and we can judge from their estimates whether their view of the company has changed or if there are any new concerns to be aware of. So we gathered the latest post-earnings forecasts to see what estimates suggest is in store for next year.
See our latest analysis for Aurelia Metals
Taking into account the latest results, the current consensus, from the three analysts covering Aurelia Metals, is for revenues of AU$303.3m in 2024. This implies a discernible 6.3% reduction in Aurelia Metals' revenue over the past 12 months. The loss per share is expected to greatly reduce in the near future, narrowing 25% to AU$0.011. Yet prior to the latest earnings, the analysts had been forecasting revenues of AU$317.1m and losses of AU$0.0035 per share in 2024. So it's pretty clear the analysts have mixed opinions on Aurelia Metals after this update; revenues were downgraded and per-share losses expected to increase.
The average price target was broadly unchanged at AU$0.19, perhaps implicitly signalling that the weaker earnings outlook is not expected to have a long-term impact on the valuation. Fixating on a single price target can be unwise though, since the consensus target is effectively the average of analyst price targets. As a result, some investors like to look at the range of estimates to see if there are any diverging opinions on the company's valuation. Currently, the most bullish analyst values Aurelia Metals at AU$0.22 per share, while the most bearish prices it at AU$0.15. This shows there is still a bit of diversity in estimates, but analysts don't appear to be totally split on the stock as though it might be a success or failure situation.
These estimates are interesting, but it can be useful to paint some more broad strokes when seeing how forecasts compare, both to the Aurelia Metals' past performance and to peers in the same industry. These estimates imply that revenue is expected to slow, with a forecast annualised decline of 12% by the end of 2024. This indicates a significant reduction from annual growth of 4.6% over the last five years. By contrast, our data suggests that other companies (with analyst coverage) in the same industry are forecast to see their revenue grow 1.3% annually for the foreseeable future. So although its revenues are forecast to shrink, this cloud does not come with a silver lining – Aurelia Metals is expected to lag the wider industry.
The Bottom Line
The most important thing to take away is that the analysts increased their loss per share estimates for next year. On the negative side, they also downgraded their revenue estimates, and forecasts imply they will perform worse than the wider industry. There was no real change to the consensus price target, suggesting that the intrinsic value of the business has not undergone any major changes with the latest estimates.
With that said, the long-term trajectory of the company's earnings is a lot more important than next year. We have forecasts for Aurelia Metals going out to 2026, and you can see them free on our platform here.
It is also worth noting that we have found 3 warning signs for Aurelia Metals (1 is potentially serious!) that you need to take into consideration.
Have feedback on this article? Concerned about the content? Get in touch with us directly. Alternatively, email editorial-team (at) simplywallst.com.This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.
Harmony Gold Mining Company Limited HMY logged adjusted earnings of 51 cents per share in the first half of fiscal 2024 (ended Dec 31, 2023), up 200% from adjusted earnings of 17 cents recorded a year ago.
For the first half of fiscal 2024, revenues were up 25% year over year to $1,681 million. Average gold prices received for the period rose nearly 10% year over year to $1,900 per ounce (oz).
Harmony Gold Mining Company Limited Price, Consensus and EPS Surprise
Harmony Gold Mining Company Limited Price, Consensus and EPS Surprise
Harmony Gold Mining Company Limited price-consensus-eps-surprise-chart | Harmony Gold Mining Company Limited Quote
Production and Costs
Gold production was 832,349 oz for the reported period, up around 14% year over year.
Cash operating costs per oz fell 10% year over year to $1,191. All-in-sustaining costs fell 12% year over year to $1,403 per oz.
Financial Overview
As of Dec 31, 2023, cash and cash equivalents rose around 46% year over year to $188 million.
Operating free cash flow surged 237% year over year to $381 million during the period.
Long-term debt was $183 million at the end of first half of fiscal 2024, down around 55% year over year.
Outlook
Harmony Gold’s guidance to produce 1.38-1.48 million oz of gold in fiscal 2024 remains unchanged. Similarly, the AISC and underground grade guidance remains unchanged.
Price Performance
Shares of Harmony Gold are up 83.6% in the past year compared with a 3.4% fall of the industry.
Zacks Investment Research
Image Source: Zacks Investment Research
Zacks Rank & Key Picks
Harmony currently carries a Zacks Rank #2 (Buy).
Other top-ranked stocks in the Basic Materials space are Carpenter Technology Corporation CRS sporting a Zacks Rank #1 (Strong Buy), and Ecolab Inc. ECL and Hawkins, Inc. HWKN, each carrying a Zacks Rank #2. You can see the complete list of today’s Zacks #1 Rank stocks here.
The consensus estimate for CRS’ current fiscal year earnings is pegged at $3.97 per share, indicating a year-over-year surge of 248.3%. CRS beat the Zacks Consensus Estimate in each of the last four quarters, with the average earnings surprise being 14.3%. The company’s shares have rallied 28% in the past year.
Ecolab has a projected earnings growth rate of 22.65%% for the current year. The Zacks Consensus Estimate for ECL’s current-year earnings has been revised upward by 6.5% in the past 60 days. ECL topped the consensus estimate in each of the last four quarters, with the average earnings surprise being 1.7%. The company’s shares have rallied 41.8% in the past year.
The consensus estimate for HWKN’s current fiscal year earnings is pegged at $3.61 per share, indicating a year-over-year rise of 26%. The Zacks Consensus Estimate for HWKN’s current-year earnings has been revised upward by 4.3% in the past 30 days. HWKN beat the consensus estimate in each of the last four quarters, with the average earnings surprise being 30.6%. The company’s shares have surged 69% in the past year.
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MELBOURNE (Reuters) – The world's biggest listed miner BHP Group said on Thursday it was disbanding some global teams and transferring those roles covering functions including planning, environment and heritage protection to its mining asset-level management.
BHP employs more than 80,000 people in staff and contractors around the world and the announcement comes after CEO Mike Henry has flagged the lack of productivity improvement and high costs of its Australian workforce. The changes will take place at BHP's operational assets in Australia and the Americas.
BHP did not say how many jobs would be impacted if any, but the Australian Financial Review reported some roles related to a standalone planning and technical division and a unit for health safety and the environment have already been cut.
"As part of our continuous improvement in how we approach our work, we have made some changes to better align work activities within assets and support quicker decision making,” a BHP spokesperson told Reuters, after an email outlining the changes was sent internally.
The changes mean that responsibility for decisions around health, safety, environment, planning, heritage management, decarbonisation and rehabilitation will come under the heads of each operational asset, according to BHP.
In Australia, BHP's assets include Western Australian iron ore, Nickel West, South Australian copper, Queensland metallurgical coal and New South Wales energy coal. In the Americas it includes its Chilean copper mines and Canadian potash.
Among other changes, warehousing and logistics roles will also become site specific rather than a global function, while operational decarbonisation will come under a national team supporting each country's assets, the company said.
BHP will keep group level teams in health, safety and security, sustainability and social value and its maintenance centre of excellence align standards, consistency, strategy and governance.
The restructure comes as BHP decides the fate of its loss-making Nickel West operations after a flood of Indonesian supply hammered prices in the past year.
Nickel West employs around 3,000 staff and Henry said a decision was expected in the coming months when the miner announced a half-year underlying profit of $6.6 billion on Feb. 20.
(Reporting by Melanie Burton; Editing by Aurora Ellis and Jamie Freed)
Harmony Gold Mining Company Limited (NYSE:HMY) Q1 2023 Earnings Call Transcript February 28, 2024
Harmony Gold Mining Company Limited isn’t one of the 30 most popular stocks among hedge funds at the end of the third quarter (see the details here).
Peter Steenkamp: Good morning or good afternoon, wherever you may be across the world. I am Peter Steenkamp, CEO of Harmony. Thank you for joining us virtually today as we present our Interim Results for the Half Year Ended 31st of December 2023 for the current reporting period. Please take note of our safe statement. Let me begin with a summary to remind you who we are and what our strategy is. Harmony is a specialized gold producer with a growing international copper footprint. We also produce small amounts of silver and uranium. We have over 73 years of gold mining experience in South Africa and have been operating for over two decades in Papua New Guinea. Our strategy is aimed at producing safe, profitable ounces and improving margins through operational excellence and value-adaptive acquisitions.
Our mineral resources and mineral reserves declaration of 138 million ounces and 39 million ounces respectively, presents an incredible opportunity to convert the quality ounces into shared value for our shareholders and stakeholders. Our gold tailings re-treatment business or recycling as you may know it, is the largest globally and is set to grow supporting the circular economy. The Tier 1 Moafie Gold Project in Papua New Guinea and Eva Copper in Australia give Harmony a sizable copper gold footprint, which will be transformational. Currently, our diversified portfolio of operating assets including nine underground mines, two open pit mines, and a significant failings re-treatment business. Production comes from four business areas, namely our South African high-grade underground mines, our South African optimized underground mines, a large and growing surface sources business in South Africa, and a growing international copper gold portfolio, of which Hidden Valley is the only producing mine at this stage.
Mining with purpose ensures that our stakeholders share in the benefits of the minerals we extract. In our presentation today, we will provide further insights in how we are creating long term value, shared value for all of us. Over the past few years, we have set ourselves ambitious goals, and I'm proud to say that we've largely achieved them. Reflecting on the first half of the financial year of 2024, we have delivered significant improvement in safety with our last time injury frequency rate improving to from above seven in 2017. The 9 or 5.19 per million ounce worked in a supporting period. We maintain the belief that the safe mine is a profitable mine. We have reduced our gearing and built a strong balance sheet, which is now in the net cash position of ZAR 74 million or US$ 4 million.
Through organic growth and investment, we continue to convert our mineral resources to quality mineral reserves, focusing on higher grades and margins. This is evident of our comprehensive pipeline of projects in execution. Group all-in sustaining cost improved to ZAR 843 and ZAR 43,000 a kilogram or US$1,403 per ounce. We achieved higher underground recovered grades at 6.29 grams per tonne. Harmony generated a record operating free cash flow of ZAR 7.1 billion or $381 million. This equates to a group operating free cash flow margin of 24%. Our acquisitions have transformed Harmony completely, having added quality ounces and copper to our asset portfolio. We are a new company with a long and exciting future ahead of us. The effective allocation of capital has created is in a position to return capital to our shareholders, rewarding them for investing in Harmony story.
Allow me to unpack the operational performance for this reporting period. The stellar results in this reporting period were a result of our ongoing investment in operational excellence. This has enabled us to deliver consistency throughout the gold cycle. We are, therefore, well-positioned to take advantage of the current high gold price. Let me give six reasons why I strongly believe Harmony will continue to deliver. First, everything we do starts with safety, which I again want to emphasize is non-negotiable. This is supported by a healthy organizational culture. Operational flexibility and predictability in our planning ensures that we consistently deliver on the tonnes alongside higher-grade ounces. Harmony has always controlled what we can with cost being one key factor.
With the rand cost base, we have a stable and predictable cost structure. The strong partnerships that we have built with our stakeholders enable us to maintain a social license and continue operating successfully. Our substantial mineral resource based on other 174 million ounces, presents an abundance of opportunity to grow our mineral reserves through internal investments. Let's look at the numbers supporting these statements. We are seeing a continued improvement in safety performance. It requires a daily commitment, and we are confident that we will ultimately achieve this zero of – the goal of zero loss of life. Our proactive culture of safety and care has resulted in our lost time injury frequency rate trending lower. Group lost time injury frequency rates improved from 5.1 — improved to $5.19 per million ounces worth in the first half of this financial year.
Our operational results demonstrate that the safe mine is a productive mine. An incredible amount of work goes into ensuring that our workplaces are made safe. We have continued safety awareness initiatives to reinforce that safety always comes first. Regretly four of our colleagues have lost their lives in the mine-related incidents since the start of this financial year. Each loss of life is a sharp reminder that more needs to be done. We mourn the passing of these colleagues and we work tirelessly to ensure that each Harmonian [ph] returns home on safely. Improved planning allows for better flexibility and predictability. This combined with the acquisition of higher-quality assets resulted in a multiple improvement in recovered grades. Underground recovered grade in this reporting period increased by 11% to the 6.29 grams a tonne from the 5.6 grams per tonne year-on-year.
This now exceeds the upper end of our full year guidance. This has primarily been driven by the high-grade underground mines in Penang at North Tshepong. Consequently, production increased by 14% to 36 tonnes of gold or 832,000 ounces, and we expect to meet or exceed the upper end of our FY 2024 production guidance. These charts perfectly illustrate our effective capital allocation has transformed Harmony. We continue to see an improvement in our all-in sustaining costs in both rand and US dollar terms. Our rand all-in sustaining costs improved by 5% to 843,000 rand a kilogram. However, we delivered a remarkable 12% improvement in US dollar all-in sustaining costs to just over $1,400 per ounce. This considerable shift down in global all-in sustaining cost growth has been a function of the higher grades, well-managed cost increases and increased the production and prices of [indiscernible] at Hidden Valley Mine and Moab Khotsong operational, respectively.
With over 90% of our input source in South Africa, we have been largely protected from the rampant global information. In addition, our labor electricity cost increases are predictable, allowing us to manage our cost effectively and deliver this guidance. We're a proud South African gold producer and are fortunate to sell our gold in U.S. dollars. As a result, our all-in sustaining cost margins are now over ZAR 350,000 per kilogram or $600 an ounce. Improved safety and higher-grade grades translated into high production. This was further supported by a strong rand per kilogram gold price received. This allowed for higher margins, driving record operating free cash flows. Total operating free cash flows increased by 265% to ZAR 7.1 billion, while operating free cash flow margins expanded to 24% from the 9%.
In U.S. dollars, we generated $381 million in operating free cash flow, up 237% year-on-year. To put this in perspective, we generated more operating free cash flows in rand over the past six months than we have in the previously full year period. The majority of our total free fresh operating flow comes from our South African high-grade operations at Hidden Valley in Papua New Guinea. Our South African high-grade underground mines contributed 51% of the total production, but delivered 45% of operating free cash flows at a margin of 34%. Let me remind you that the South African optimized underground assets continue to serve the company well. This mine produced 40% of the total production and generated 90% of group operating free cash flows at a margin of 11%.
Bearing in mind that we are investing significant capital to expand our South African surface operations. These assets produced 17% of the group production, generating 11% of the operating free cash flow at a margin of 17%. Hidden Valley produced at 12% of the group production but contributed 25% to the total operating free cash flows and had a phenomenal 50% margin. Sustainability and ethical mining are integral to our operating model at Harmony. The sub-multiples stewardship is about managing all aspects of ESG. We support the circular economy through decarbonization, more specifically through energy efficiencies, renewable energy programs and green energy mix. Effective waste management through waste rock and planning street treatment. We also donate waste rock dumps to our communities for aggregate production.
We promote good water stewardships good for the prioritizing the recycling and efficient use of this scarce resource. And we contribute to the resilience and the prosperity of our host committees through benefit sharing. This makes Harmony a partner of choice. Mining with purpose is what we are all about. Through sustainability is embedded in all we are our decisions that we make. At Harmony, we believe in actions over words. As a result, we continue to receive positive external recognition for our efforts in sustainability. We have once again been included in the FTSE4Good Index. On inclusion in the Bloomberg Gender-Equality Index for five consecutive years demonstrate we foster gender diversity and inclusivity. We always treat our employees fairly without bias or prejudices of any kind.
An open pit mine with heavy excavation machinery toiling away against the backdrop of a hidden valley.
We have received a score A from the CDP for best practice in water management strategy in 2023. And our near-term and longer-term carbon reduction targets have been validated by design-based target initiative as we aim for net carbon zero by 2045. Because Life of Mine is finite, we are continually investing in converting our resource to reserves, while striking a balance between capital intensity and shareholder returns. Harmony presents a substantial opportunity to invest in an exciting gold copper story. Our resource base, which includes copper is to big to ignore. We are in a fortunate position that we can deliver on our long-term plans for internal investment, as we convert these resources to reserves. Our production profile has been significantly derisked and future production will come from combination of South African surface and underground gold, Papua New Guinea copper and gold and Australian copper.
Our quality growth pipeline is aimed at creating long-term value, as we take our projects up the value curve. Feasibility studies to determine the possibility of safely extending Mponeng and conducting the pillar extraction of the Tau Tona have been completed. I'm delighted to announce that we have received Board approval and will commence with the life of mine extension project at Mponeng in the West region. I will impact more on Mponeng in the next few slides. We are conducting various exploration drilling activities across all other jurisdictions. The Eva Copper feasibility studies are being updated and negotiations to permit Wafi-Golpu are also continuing. We are making good progress with various projects currently in execution. The Moab Khotsong extension, Mine Waste Solution, TSF Extension and Hidden Valley extension are all progressing well and further details are available in the next year.
Now moving to Mponeng life of mine extension project. Mponeng was acquired in 2020, we began a comprehensive update of the feasibility study to determine if we could extend Mponeng life of mine. After the two-year study, we now have an optimized mine design, which ensures we can extend the life of Mponeng both safely and profitably. The project means all our investment criteria. Mponeng is in incredible mine with an existing world-class infrastructure. There's a mine with access to both — to two excellent ore bodies, namely of carbon leader and the [indiscernible]. Both of these economic horizons have exceptional grades north of nine grams a tonne. This major project will convert over three million ounces into mineral reserves, delivering at an average steady-state production of 260,000 ounces per annum or 8 tonnes per annum of gold.
Once the project is complete, we are forecasting a cash contribution of about ZAR 2.5 billion per annum from this project at a real gold price of ZAR 1.1 million kilogram. Because of this high grade, the projects will have an attractive real all-in sustaining cost of ZAR 768,000 a kilogram or $1,290 per ounce based on current assumptions and estimations. The life of mine will be extended from the 7 to 20 years, ensuring Mponeng remains a top performing asset in our portfolio until at least 2044. Capital expenditure for these projects will be manageable and affordable. This project will be self-funded through internal cash flows. With a substantial mineral resource of 24 million ounces, that's another example of how we continue to extend our reduced production profile by converting mineral resources to mineral reserves.
We are proud that in our hands, Mponeng will reach its true potential and deliver a significant positive social impact. This embodies our Harmony creates long-term value for the shareholders and stakeholders. A derisked modular approach will be taken to access three high-grade blocks. State Health were at the forefront of our design methodology and mining practices. The project will focus on mining the two ore bodies landed the VCR and carbon leader. This will ensure that we maintain a high level of flexibility. The extension is only about 270 meters deeper. This will target early gold by accessing the Harmony go through a ramp system at 120 level and the VCR will be actually through the West and the eastern side. Lastly, we will also remind the VCR portion of the Tau Tona shafts pillars, which provides additional high-grade ounces.
This is truly for illustrative purposes and includes both approved plans and projects still in feasibility. Adding the Mponeng extension, Eva Copper and Wafi Golpu, Harmony going to remain at 1.5 million producer well into the future. Importantly, the Mponeng extension combined with Moab Khotsong extension will deliver over 400,000 ounces high-quality, low-cost ounces per annum for more than two decades. This will ensure strong future cash flows at higher margins. There is a significant potential within our asset base for further value to be unlocked through future mineral resource conversion. Bear in mind that this illustration also excludes any potential future value-accretive acquisitions that form part of our strategy. Capital guidance for FY 2024 remains unchanged.
Capital for early work development from Mponeng was provided for in the FY 2024 capital budget. We estimate a ZAR7.9 billion in project capital over the life of the project in real terms. Capital guidance for FY 2025 onwards will now include the Mponeng extension project. Mponeng generated ZAR1.9 billion in operating free cash flow in the reporting period in this particular six months. At an annual estimated CapEx of ZAR1 billion or approximately US$50 million, this project is therefore affordable and at a low capital intensity. Harmony is sizeable and well-sequenced project pipeline. Our project timing is deliberate and ensures our project capital remains affordable and does not put pressure on our balance sheet. These projects are catalysts for meaningful, sustainable production and expand our margins within driving costs down in the future.
Now allow me to hand over to my colleague and Financial Director, Boipelo Lekubo to run through the financials. Over to you, Boipelo.
Boipelo Lekubo: Thank you, Peter. I'm pleased to present our exceptional financial performance for this reporting period. All US dollar figures and conversions are in their exchange. Group revenue for this financial half year increased by 35% to ZAR31 billion. EBITDA increased by 114% to ZAR17 billion. As a result, headline earnings per share increased by 226% to ZAR 956 per share. With ZAR 9.8 billion in available headroom through cash and undrawn facilities, our balance sheet is well positioned to execute on our project pipeline and acquisition ambitions. Through operational excellence and consistent production, we have healthy margins at current gold prices. At ZAR1.2 million per kilogram or $2,000 an ounce, our all-in cost margin is at 33%.
This is essentially the margin available after all major capital. Our all-in sustaining cost margin is 42% and our cash operating cost margin is 68%. We are therefore well positioned with good buffers to absorb any adverse movements in the gold price. We have an effective hedging program in place with 20% of our production hedged over 24 months. The Rand gold hedge book was maintained at 20% or 558,000 ounces at an average forward hedge cover of over ZAR1.256 million a kilogram. Returning cash to shareholders alongside our growth aspirations remains a key priority. Harmony's dividend policy is to pay a return of 20%, net free cash generated to shareholders, at the discretion of the directors — of the Board of Directors. The strong operational performance and exceptional net free cash generation, resulted in a record interim dividend of ZAR1.47 or US$ 0.80 per share declared, which will result in a record payment to shareholders of over ZAR1 billion.
This has resulted in a 12-month dividend yield of just over 2%. Cumulatively, we've paid ZAR2.7 billion in dividends, since 2016. With ongoing confidence in our plans, controlling what we can, such as safety, production and costs, we aim to fed true to our dividend policy. Thank you, and back to you, Peter.
Peter Steenkamp: Thank you, Boipelo. So in conclusion, Harmony is a company that delivers sustainable, predictable and flexible operational performance with a well-managed, fixed cost structure. Our guidance for FY 2024 remains unchanged. And we are confident that we will reach the upper-end of our production guidance and the lower-end of our cost guidance. Through our embedded sustainability practices and quality ounces, we have a company with a long reserve life. Our geared exposure to the Rand per kilogram gold price continues to provide us with good tailwinds on both the revenue and marginal perspective. We have two significant international copper projects that complement our existing gold assets. We understand our ore bodies.
We have a strong technical and exploration capabilities. And we are the partners of choice wherever we operate. As Boipelo mentioned, our flexible and strong balance sheet supports our growth pipeline. As a gold mining specialist with a growing international copper footprint, we are passionate about what we do and about transforming our goal into long-term value for all stakeholders. This is mining with purpose. Thank you. And I'll now hand over for questions.
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To continue reading the Q&A session, please click here.
Melbourne, Victoria –News Direct– Aura Energy Ltd
Newly appointed Aura Energy Ltd (ASX:AEE) CEO Andrew Grove joins Jonathan Jackson in the Proactive studio to discuss the company’s uranium ambitions and its work at the Tiris Uranium Project in Mauritania, which is poised to become a leading global near-term uranium operation following the delivery of a positive Front End Engineering Design (FEED) study. Grove gives his insight into the FEED study and what the findings indicate about the project's potential. He also outlines the expansion plans for Tiris, highlighting the strategic direction and growth objectives. Further to this, Grove speaks about the Swedish Government’s potential reversal of its uranium mining ban and what this would mean for the company’s Haagan Project in Sweden, including a possible increase in Net Present Value and strategic positioning.
Grove said: "The FEED study clearly demonstrates that Tiris will be a low-cost, high value, near-term uranium producer with the ability to scale in a very strong uranium market. The market is in structural deficit and likely to continue that way for an extended period.
"The strong economics at Tiris are supported by the simple, low risk mining and beneficiation that delivers the high-grade, 1,750ppm to 2,000ppm U3O8, ore to the leach plant and there are no requirements for crushing or grinding the ore.
"These high grades are only matched by the deep underground mines in Canada and exceeding any current or proposed open pit uranium mines worldwide.”
Contact Details
Proactive Investors
Jonathan Jackson
+61 413 713 744
jonathan@proactiveinvestors.com
View source version on newsdirect.com: https://newsdirect.com/news/aura-energy-releases-positive-feed-study-at-tiris-548687729
In this piece, we will take a look at the 13 best silver mining stocks to invest in now. If you want to skip our overview of the global silver industry, and how silver stocks fluctuate in response to broader macroeconomic trends, then you can take a look at the 5 Best Silver Mining Stocks To Invest In Now.
Just like gold, silver is both a financial asset and a commodity. While its prices are not as closely tracked or expensive as its yellowish counterpart, silver finds itself embedded as a store of value in the form of multiple products such as cutlery. Additionally, the boom in the global computing and electronics industry, which has generated demand for hundreds of thousands of gadgets has led to silver taking a crucial spot in the global industrial supply chain.
Consequently, silver stocks, which typically belong to those companies that either engage directly in silver mining or have stakes in mining properties also fluctuate in response to global industrial conditions. If the conditions are robust and major economies such as China continue to grow, then silver stocks also provide their investors with favorable results. Similarly, silver stocks, like all other stocks, are dependent on the performance of their underlying companies. Due to the unique nature of the global mining industries, where firms are often left to contend with crucial mining sites in countries with varying degrees of political stability.
For instance, when we analyze the 12 month share price performance of the silver stock First Majestic Silver Corp. (NYSE:AG), the graph is rife with sharp dips. One such dip came in March 2023 when the firm announced that it would suspend operations in its mine in Nevada due to high capital bleed and low profitability. Investors didn't react well to the news, and the shares tumbled in double digit percentages before recouping the losses over the next couple of days.
Fast forwarding to 2024, the stock soared by 3% the day after First Majestic Silver Corp. (NYSE:AG) reported its earnings report for the fourth quarter and full year 2023. The financial report saw the silver mining stock beat all odds to overcome analyst EPS pessimism. Its EPS for the fourth quarter sat at a loss of three cents a share, which was a cent shy of analyst estimates. Furthermore, while the firm's annual revenue dropped by 8% in the aftermath of the Nevada shutdown, the same shutdown helped it save costs and deliver a 37% mine operating earnings growth. Yet, despite the financial engineering, the impact of the previous three quarters was unavoidable on the balance sheet, and not only did the adjusted EPS for the quarter remain a loss, but First Majestic Silver Corp. (NYSE:AG)'s basis or non adjusted EPS that removes the impact of selective cash outlays remained in the red for the full year 2023.
Shifting gears to take a brief look at the dynamics of global silver prices before we move to the silver mining stocks to buy, like gold, the metal's price can move in response to U.S. monetary policy. Right now, stock market investors are on a keen lookout for any economic surprises that might compel the Federal Reserve to reduce interest rates. Should there be any surprises on this front, then silver, just like its heftier counterpart gold, might witness a price rise. Additionally, while silver is trading at roughly $23 an ounce right now, a report from Oxford Economics believes that the demand for silver can rise by as much as 46% by the end of 2033 when we consider industrial use cases and by as much as 34% when considering jewelry and other associated items. If capital conditions remain tight and silver miners are unable to meet this demand, then silver in itself might prove to be a solid investment.
So, as silver demand estimates remain optimistic, we decided to see which silver mining stocks hedge funds are buying. Some notable names are BHP Group Limited (NYSE:BHP), Wheaton Precious Metals Corp. (NYSE:WPM), and Newmont Corporation (NYSE:NEM). For more information for the silver mining industry, you can also check out 15 Biggest Silver Mining Companies in the World.
13 Best Silver Mining Stocks To Invest In Now
zoff/Shutterstock.com
Our Methodology
To make our list of the best silver mining stocks, we ranked all silver mining companies by the number of hedge funds that had bought their shares during Q4 2023 and picked out the top stocks.
For these best silver mining stocks, we have also mentioned hedge fund sentiment. Hedge funds' top 10 consensus stock picks outperformed the S&P 500 Index by more than 140 percentage points over the last 10 years (see the details here). That's why we pay very close attention to this often-ignored indicator.
13 Best Silver Mining Stocks To Invest In Now13. Seabridge Gold Inc. (NYSE:SA)
Number of Hedge Fund Investors In Q4 2023: 13
Seabridge Gold Inc. (NYSE:SA) is a Canadian metals mining company with operations in its home country and in the U.S. Its shares jumped by a whopping 19% in February 2024 after the firm announced that its exploration efforts in a Canadian gold site had yielded favorable results.
By the end of last year's fourth quarter, 13 out of the 933 hedge funds part of Insider Monkey's database had owned Seabridge Gold Inc. (NYSE:SA)'s shares. David Iben's Kopernik Global Investors was the firm's biggest hedge fund investor due to its $38 million stake.
Along with Wheaton Precious Metals Corp. (NYSE:WPM), BHP Group Limited (NYSE:BHP), and Newmont Corporation (NYSE:NEM), Seabridge Gold Inc. (NYSE:SA) is a silver mining stock that hedge funds are buying.
12. Osisko Gold Royalties Ltd (NYSE:OR)
Number of Hedge Fund Investors In Q4 2023: 13
Osisko Gold Royalties Ltd (NYSE:OR) is a Canadian precious metal streaming company headquartered in Montreal. Despite the fact that the firm's latest earnings report saw it post a record C$247 million in revenue while it battled with wildfires, the shares are down year to date.
As of Q4 2023, 13 out of the 933 hedge funds profiled by Insider Monkey were the firm's shareholders. Osisko Gold Royalties Ltd (NYSE:OR)'s largest stakeholder in our database is Israel Englander's Millennium Management as it owns $85 million worth of shares.
11. Endeavour Silver Corp. (NYSE:EXK)
Number of Hedge Fund Investors In Q4 2023: 14
Endeavour Silver Corp. (NYSE:EXK) is a pure play silver mining company with operations in North and South America. The firm has struggled on the financial front as of late since it has failed to beat analyst EPS estimates in all four of its latest quarters.
During 2023's December quarter, 14 out of the 933 hedge funds covered by Insider Monkey's research had invested in Endeavour Silver Corp. (NYSE:EXK). Israel Englander's Millennium Management was the biggest investor since it owned $9.1 million worth of shares.
10. MAG Silver Corp. (NYSE:MAG)
Number of Hedge Fund Investors In Q4 2023: 14
MAG Silver Corp. (NYSE:MAG) is a diversified metals miner with operations in Mexico. When it comes to the average share price target of the best silver mining stocks on our list, it has the highest upside due to an average share price target of $17.76. This prices in a nice 105% upside.
Insider Monkey dug through 933 hedge fund portfolios for their fourth quarter of 2023 shareholdings and found that 14 had bought a stake in the firm. MAG Silver Corp. (NYSE:MAG)'s largest hedge fund shareholder is Jean-Marie Eveillard's First Eagle Investment Management as it owns 6.3 million shares that are worth $66.4 million.
9. Coeur Mining, Inc. (NYSE:CDE)
Number of Hedge Fund Investors In Q4 2023: 14
Coeur Mining, Inc. (NYSE:CDE) is an American gold and silver mining company with operations in the U.S., Canada, and Mexico. Its fourth quarter and full year 2023 earnings results were a mixed bunch, as while Coeur Mining, Inc. (NYSE:CDE) grew revenue by 4.5% annually, its loss per share also grew by 2 cents.
As of December 2023 end, 14 out of the 933 hedge funds tracked by Insider Monkey had bought Coeur Mining, Inc. (NYSE:CDE)'s shares. Jean-Marie Eveillard's First Eagle Investment Management owned the biggest stake which was worth $6.9 million.
8. Hecla Mining Company (NYSE:HL)
Number of Hedge Fund Investors In Q4 2023: 14
Hecla Mining Company (NYSE:HL) is a sizeable American metals mining company with access to lucrative properties in Alaska. The shares are rated Buy on average, while the average share price target is $5.74.
During 2023's final quarter, 14 out of the 933 hedge funds part of Insider Monkey's database had held a stake in the firm. Hecla Mining Company (NYSE:HL)'s largest investor among these is Dmitry Balyasny's Balyasny Asset Management due to its $20 million investment.
7. Fortuna Silver Mines Inc. (NYSE:FSM)
Number of Hedge Fund Investors In Q4 2023: 18
Fortuna Silver Mines Inc. (NYSE:FSM) is a Canadian gold and silver mining company with operations in Peru, Mexico, and other countries. It's one of the rare silver mining stocks on our list that has managed to beat analyst EPS estimates in two out of its four latest quarters, as several others have fared worse.
After digging through 933 hedge funds for their December quarter of 2023 shareholdings, Insider Monkey found that 18 were Fortuna Silver Mines Inc. (NYSE:FSM)'s shareholders. Ken Griffin's Citadel Investment Group owned the biggest stake which was worth $9.6 million.
6. Pan American Silver Corp. (NYSE:PAAS)
Number of Hedge Fund Investors In Q4 2023: 22
Pan American Silver Corp. (NYSE:PAAS) is a Canadian metals mining firm headquartered in Vancouver, Canada. It's one of the strongest rated stocks on our list since the average share price target is Strong Buy. The average share price target of $20.58 prices in a 60% share price upside.
During Q4 2023, 22 out of the 933 hedge funds covered by Insider Monkey's research had invested in the firm. Out of these, the largest Pan American Silver Corp. (NYSE:PAAS) shareholder was David Greenspan's Slate Path Capital through its $85.8 million stake.
BHP Group Limited (NYSE:BHP), Pan American Silver Corp. (NYSE:PAAS), Wheaton Precious Metals Corp. (NYSE:WPM), and Newmont Corporation (NYSE:NEM) are some top hedge fund silver mining stock picks.
Click here to continue reading and check out 5 Best Silver Mining Stocks To Invest In Now.
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Disclosure: None. 13 Best Silver Mining Stocks To Invest In Now is originally published on Insider Monkey.
WHITE ROCK, BC / ACCESSWIRE / February 27, 2024 / Honey Badger Silver Inc. (TSXV:TUF) ("Honey Badger" or the "Company"), announces that W. Douglas (Doug) Eaton has resigned from Honey Badger's Board of Directors effective today, in order to pursue other business interests.
Dorian L. (Dusty) Nicol, the Company's CEO said, "We thank Doug for his advice and counsel while he served as director of the Company. We are in advanced discussions with several high-quality potential replacements and expect to make an announcement shortly."
About Honey Badger Silver Inc.
Honey Badger Silver is a silver company. The company is led by a highly experienced leadership team with a track record of value creation backed by a skilled technical team. Our projects are located in areas with a long history of mining, including the Sunrise Lake project with a historic resource of 26.7 Moz of silver (1)(3) located in the Northwest Territories and the Plata high grade silver project located 165 km east of Yukon's prolific Keno Hill. The Company also has a significant land holding at the Nanisivik Mine Area located in Nunavut, Canada that produced over 20 Moz of silver between 1976 and 2002. (2,3)
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(1) |
Sunrise Lake 2003 RPA historic resource: Indicated 1.522 million tonnes grading 262 grams/tonne silver, 6.0% zinc, 2.4% lead, 0.08% copper, and 0.67 grams/tonne gold and Inferred 2.555 million tonnes grading 169 grams/tonne silver, 4.4% zinc, 1.9% lead, 0.07% copper, and 0.51 grams/tonne gold. This represents contained silver of approximately 12.8 million ounces Indicated and 13.9 million ounces Inferred. |
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(2) |
Geological Survey of Canada, 2002-C22, "Structural and Stratigraphic Controls on Zn-Pb-Ag Mineralization at the Nanisivik Mississippi Valley type Deposit, Northern Baffin Island, Nunavut; by Patterson and Powis." |
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(3) |
A qualified person has not done sufficient work to classify this historic tonnage estimate as a current mineral resource and the Company is not treating the estimate as a current mineral resource. The historic tonnage estimate cannot be relied upon. Additional work, including verification drilling / sampling, will be required to verify the estimate as a current mineral resource. |
ON BEHALF OF THE BOARD
Dorian L. (Dusty) Nicol, CEO
For more information please visit our website www.honeybadgersilver.com or contact Ms. Michelle Savella for Investor Relations | msavella@honeybadgersilver.com | +1 (604) 828-5886.
Neither the TSX Venture Exchange nor its Regulation Services Provider (as that term is defined in the policies of the TSX Venture Exchange) accepts responsibility for the adequacy or accuracy of this release.
Cautionary Note Regarding Forward-Looking Information
This news release contains "forward-looking information" within the meaning of the applicable Canadian securities legislation that is based on expectations, estimates, projections and interpretations as at the date of this news release. Any statement that involves discussions with respect to predictions, expectations, interpretations, beliefs, plans, projections, objectives, assumptions, future events or performance (often but not always using phrases such as "expects", or "does not expect", "is expected", "interpreted", "management's view", "anticipates" or "does not anticipate", "plans", "budget", "scheduled", "forecasts", "estimates", "believes" or "intends" or variations of such words and phrases or stating that certain actions, events or results "may" or "could", "would", "might" or "will" be taken to occur or be achieved) are not statements of historical fact and may be forward-looking information and are intended to identify forward-looking information. This forward-looking information is based on reasonable assumptions and estimates of management of the Company at the time such assumptions and estimates were made, and involves known and unknown risks, uncertainties and other factors which may cause the actual results, performance or achievements of Honey Badger to be materially different from any future results, performance or achievements expressed or implied by such forward-looking information.
Such factors include, but are not limited to, risks relating to capital and operating costs varying significantly from estimates; delays in obtaining or failures to obtain required governmental, environmental or other project approvals; uncertainties relating to the availability and costs of financing needed in the future; changes in equity markets; inflation; fluctuations in commodity prices; delays in the development of projects; other risks involved in the mineral exploration and development industry; and those risks set out in the Company's public documents filed on SEDAR+ (www.sedarplus.ca) under Honey Badger's issuer profile. Although the Company believes that the assumptions and factors used in preparing the forward-looking information in this news release are reasonable, undue reliance should not be placed on such information, which only applies as of the date of this news release, and no assurance can be given that such events will occur in the disclosed timeframes or at all. The Company disclaims any intention or obligation to update or revise any forward-looking information, whether as a result of new information, future events or otherwise, other than as required by law.
SOURCE: Honey Badger Silver Inc.
View the original press release on accesswire.com
It's been a good week for Teck Resources Limited (TSE:TECK.B) shareholders, because the company has just released its latest yearly results, and the shares gained 2.2% to CA$52.41. Revenues of CA$15b were in line with forecasts, although statutory earnings per share (EPS) came in below expectations at CA$4.64, missing estimates by 8.4%. The analysts typically update their forecasts at each earnings report, and we can judge from their estimates whether their view of the company has changed or if there are any new concerns to be aware of. So we collected the latest post-earnings statutory consensus estimates to see what could be in store for next year.
View our latest analysis for Teck Resources
Following the latest results, Teck Resources' nine analysts are now forecasting revenues of CA$17.1b in 2024. This would be a notable 14% improvement in revenue compared to the last 12 months. Per-share earnings are expected to step up 20% to CA$5.64. Before this earnings report, the analysts had been forecasting revenues of CA$17.0b and earnings per share (EPS) of CA$5.38 in 2024. So the consensus seems to have become somewhat more optimistic on Teck Resources' earnings potential following these results.
There's been no major changes to the consensus price target of CA$61.58, suggesting that the improved earnings per share outlook is not enough to have a long-term positive impact on the stock's valuation. That's not the only conclusion we can draw from this data however, as some investors also like to consider the spread in estimates when evaluating analyst price targets. Currently, the most bullish analyst values Teck Resources at CA$78.00 per share, while the most bearish prices it at CA$45.00. As you can see, analysts are not all in agreement on the stock's future, but the range of estimates is still reasonably narrow, which could suggest that the outcome is not totally unpredictable.
These estimates are interesting, but it can be useful to paint some more broad strokes when seeing how forecasts compare, both to the Teck Resources' past performance and to peers in the same industry. The analysts are definitely expecting Teck Resources' growth to accelerate, with the forecast 14% annualised growth to the end of 2024 ranking favourably alongside historical growth of 8.2% per annum over the past five years. Other similar companies in the industry (with analyst coverage) are also forecast to grow their revenue at 13% per year. Factoring in the forecast acceleration in revenue, it's pretty clear that Teck Resources is expected to grow at about the same rate as the wider industry.
The Bottom Line
The most important thing here is that the analysts upgraded their earnings per share estimates, suggesting that there has been a clear increase in optimism towards Teck Resources following these results. They also reconfirmed their revenue estimates, with the company predicted to grow at about the same rate as the wider industry. The consensus price target held steady at CA$61.58, with the latest estimates not enough to have an impact on their price targets.
Keeping that in mind, we still think that the longer term trajectory of the business is much more important for investors to consider. We have forecasts for Teck Resources going out to 2026, and you can see them free on our platform here.
You still need to take note of risks, for example – Teck Resources has 2 warning signs (and 1 which makes us a bit uncomfortable) we think you should know about.
Have feedback on this article? Concerned about the content? Get in touch with us directly. Alternatively, email editorial-team (at) simplywallst.com.This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.
(Bloomberg) — Many of the world’s biggest nickel mines are facing an increasingly bleak future as they wake up to an existential threat: a near limitless supply of low-cost metal from Indonesia.
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With roughly half of all nickel operations unprofitable at recent prices, the bosses of the largest mining companies last week sounded a warning that there was little prospect of a recovery.
The potential collapse of nickel mining from Australia to New Caledonia comes at a time when western governments are scrambling to secure the supply chains needed to decarbonize the global economy. But in an ironic twist, Indonesia’s coal-fired nickel output is pricing out greener metal that’s so far failed to command a market premium.
Wresting control of strategic metals from China has become a focal point of Joe Biden’s administration. Yet while US officials have dashed around the world looking to strike deals for materials such as cobalt and copper, the heaviest reverse has come in Chinese-backed Indonesian nickel, a key component of electric vehicles.
Indonesia now accounts for more than half of world supply, with the potential to reach three-quarters of all production toward the end of the decade.
“There is a serious structural challenge as a result of Indonesian nickel,” said Duncan Wanblad, chief executive officer of Anglo American Plc, after his company took a $500 million writedown on its nickel business last week. “They don’t seem to be letting up anytime soon.”
Read More: US Bid to Loosen China’s Grip on Key Metals for EVs Is Stalling
Traditionally, nickel has been split into two categories: low grade for making stainless steel and high grade for batteries. A huge Indonesian expansion of low-grade production led to a surplus, and, crucially, processing innovations have allowed that glut to be refined into a high-quality product.
Commodity markets have always been susceptible to cyclical volatility, especially when sudden supply and demand imbalances get a push from wider macro upswings or downturns. But what’s happening in nickel right now is different, with the entire industry undergoing a structural shift that has upended forecasts and models.
For BHP Group, the world’s biggest miner, nickel is a rounding error, contributing mostly losses to profits that routinely break $30 billion a year. Yet in recent years the company has championed the metal, seeing it as a key growth market that will help offset its retreat from fossil fuels.
Instead it’s turned into a disaster.
This week CEO Mike Henry conceded that the company will have to make a decision on whether to shutter its flagship nickel business in Australia within the next few months. Having already written down the business’s value by $2.5 billion, Henry said he expects the market to remain in surplus until at least 2030.
Read More: Top Miner BHP Takes $2.5 Billion Nickel Hit After Price Fall
That means the pain is likely just starting.
Macquarie Group Ltd. calculates that about 250,000 tons of annual production — equivalent to about 7% of the total — has been taken out of the market by closures, with another 190,000 of planned output delayed.
Combined with economic slowdowns in China and the US and the choppy adoption of EVs, nickel has been pummeled. The price fell 45% last year, and is currently hovering around $17,000 a ton. According to Macquarie, at $18,000 a ton 35% of production is unprofitable, while at $15,000 a ton that jumps to 75%.
Anglo’s CEO Wanblad, who is reviewing nearly all the company’s mines in bid to cut costs, said that he will give the miner’s nickel business time in the face of the Indonesian threat.
“Our nickel business will undergo a fulsome review in terms of holding its head above water and making a viable profit,” he said. “I’m not giving up on the guys to come up with a plan that might help them readjust themselves into a position where they can function effectively.”
Glencore Plc, which has already moved to shutter its nickel operations on the islands of New Caledonia, is one of the world’s biggest producers with sprawling businesses in Canada and Australia. At current prices, that business will make just $500 million this year, with CEO Gary Nagle expecting prices to remain depressed.
“We see continuing strong production growth out of Indonesia,” Nagle said. “We do not expect significant price recovery in the short to medium term.”
With more than half a decade of oversupply ahead, more mines are likely to close before things get better. Should the market finally rebalance, that will leave Indonesia and China with even more market share then they already have.
Still, Indonesia’s rapid expansion has drawn criticism. Much of its production comes from coal-powered energy, giving it higher emissions per ton than rival producers, and its rapid expansion is eroding rainforests.
With little prospect of a near term recovery, western miners are pinning their hopes on state aid in the short term and a push toward customers — such as carmakers — demanding “greener” nickel in the future and being willing to pay more for it.
BHP this week called for the London Metal Exchange to expand its responsible sourcing policy to include environmental due diligence, helping to differentiate production from Indonesian and Chinese supply.
Still, as conceded by Glencore, so far buyers of nickel are unwilling to pay more.
“Right now there is not much of a premium in the market,” Nagle said.
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Teck Resources TECK reported fourth-quarter 2023 adjusted earnings per share (EPS) of $1.02, beating the Zacks Consensus Estimate of $1.01. The bottom line increased 29% from the year-ago quarter. Earnings benefited from higher steelmaking coal sales volumes and copper prices, which were partially offset by lower steelmaking coal and zinc prices.
Results were also impacted by increased unit costs across TECK’s operations, which include higher costs, reflecting the ongoing production ramp-up at Quebrada Blanca Operations.
Including one-time items, the company reported EPS of 68 cents in the fourth quarter of 2023 compared with the year-ago quarter’s earnings of 38 cents per share.
Teck Resources Ltd Price, Consensus and EPS SurpriseTeck Resources Ltd Price, Consensus and EPS Surprise
Teck Resources Ltd price-consensus-eps-surprise-chart | Teck Resources Ltd Quote
Net sales amounted to $3.02 billion, indicating a 30.5% year-over-year improvement. The top line missed the consensus estimate of $3.12 billion.The gross profit was CAD$1.24 billion ($0.91 billion), up 16% from the year-ago quarter. The gross margin was 30.1% compared with the year-ago quarter’s 36.8%.The adjusted EBITDA was CAD$1.7 billion ($1.25 billion), which marked 28% growth from the year-earlier period. The EBITDA margin was 41.5% in the quarter under review compared with the year-ago quarter’s 42.5%.
Segment Performances
The Steelmaking Coal segment reported sales of CAD$2.27 billion ($1.67 billion), reflecting a year-over-year increase of 35%. The segment reported gross profit of CAD$1.08 billion ($0.8 billion), which was up 28% from the fourth quarter of 2022.
The Copper segment’s net sales surged 52% year over year to CAD$1.14 billion ($0.84 billion) in the reported quarter. The segment’s gross profit was CAD$81 million ($60 million) in the reported quarter, which marked a 67% plunge from the year-ago quarter.The Zinc segment’s net sales were down 1.4% year over year to CAD$701 million ($515 million) in the reported quarter. The segment’s gross profit improved 25% to CAD$71 million ($52 million).
Cash Flow & Balance Sheet
Teck Resources generated a cash flow of CAD$1.13 billion ($828 million) from operating activities in the fourth quarter of 2023, up 21% year over year. The company had cash and cash equivalents of CAD$0.7 billion ($0.5 billion) at the end of 2023 compared with CAD$1.9 billion at the end of 2022. Total debt was CAD$6 billion ($4.4 billion) at the end of 2023.
On Feb 21, 2024, TECK’s board authorized up to a $500 million share buyback and also approved the payment of a quarterly base dividend of 12.50 cents per share. The dividend will be paid on Mar 28, 2024, to shareholders of record as of Mar 15, 2024.
Guidance
Teck Resources expects steelmaking coal production to be between 24 million tons and 26 million tons for 2024. Copper production is anticipated to be 465,000-540,000 tons. Zinc production is projected between 565,000 tons and 630,000 tons. Refined zinc is estimated between 275,000 tons and 290,000 tons.For first-quarter 2024, the company expects sales of zinc in concentrate of 70,000-85,000 tons at Red Dog. Steelmaking coal sales are projected to be 5.9-6.3 million tons for the quarter.
Fiscal 2023 Results
Teck Resources reported adjusted EPS of $3.82 in 2023, beating the Zacks Consensus Estimate of $3.81. Compared with EPS of $7.01 in 2023, the figure marked a decline of 45.5%.
Including one-time items, the company reported EPS of $3.40 in 2023 compared with $4.76 in 2022.Net sales amounted to $15 billion in 2023, indicating a 13% year-over-year decline. The top line missed the Zacks Consensus Estimate of $11.25 billion.
Sale of Steelmaking Coal Unit
On Nov 13, 2023, Teck Resources announced that it has agreed to sell its entire stake in its steelmaking coal business, Elk Valley Resources (“EVR”), for an implied enterprise value of $9 billion. The majority of the sale (77%) will be made to Glencore plc GLNCY and 20% to Nippon Steel Corporation. Proceeds will be used to strengthen TECK’s balance sheet while returning cash to shareholders. It will help the company focus on growing its extensive copper portfolio and thereby capitalize on the energy transition trend.
Glencore will acquire a 77% stake in EVR for $6.9 billion in cash. The deal, subject to customary closing adjustments, is expected to close by the third quarter of 2024.
Nippon Steel Corporation completed the acquisition of the 20% interest in EVR on Jan 3, 2024, with a payment of $1.3 billion in cash to Teck.POSCO PKX has taken up the remaining 3% interest in EVR, in exchange for the company’s current 2.5% interest in Elkview Operations and 20% interest in the Greenhills joint venture.
Until the deal is closed, Teck will continue to operate the steelmaking coal business and will retain all cash flows, which are estimated to be around $1 billion.
Price Performance
The company’s shares have dipped 1.2% in the past year compared with the industry’s 0.3% decline.
Zacks Investment Research
Image Source: Zacks Investment Research
Zacks Rank & Stocks to Consider
Teck Resources currently carries a Zacks Rank #3 (Hold).
A better-ranked stock from the basic materials space is Carpenter Technology Corporation CRS, which currently sports a Zacks Rank #1 (Strong Buy). You can see the complete list of today’s Zacks #1 Rank stocks here.
The Zacks Consensus Estimate for Carpenter Technology’s 2024 earnings is pegged at $3.96 per share. The consensus estimate for 2024 earnings has moved 11% north in the past 60 days. It has an average trailing four-quarter earnings surprise of 14.3%. CRS shares have gained 34% in a year.
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In this article, we discuss 11 best copper stocks to invest in. If you want to skip our discussion on the copper industry, head over to 5 Best Copper Stocks To Invest In According To Analysts.
Due to the explosive growth in the electrical and electronics, construction, industrial machinery manufacturing, automotive manufacturing, and infrastructure sectors, the copper market is expected to grow from $166.25 billion in 2023 to $179.84 billion in 2024, exhibiting a compound annual growth rate of 8.2%. Similarly, the copper market is projected to reach $240.52 billion in 2028, indicating a CAGR of 7.5% throughout the forecast period of 2024-28.
Global copper producers experienced strong demand from China in the first half of the year due to decarbonization efforts, countering a weak property market. However, the future outlook depends on Beijing's stimulus measures. The copper market may shift into a modest, multiyear surplus until 2025, driven by increased mined supply. Similarly, South America's challenging regulatory and political environments may support the market in the midterm. According to Bloomberg Intelligence, near-term copper prices could dip below $8,000 a ton, with marginal cost support around $7,400. Miners anticipate a significant output increase in the second half of this year, with 2024 showing a potential 4-4.5% growth in mined supply. However, Bloomberg suggests that the benefits of greenfield and brownfield projects may start to diminish from 2027. Regulatory approvals could become more protracted, potentially causing a slowdown in mined copper supply growth by the middle of the decade, leading to market deficits by the end of the decade unless development speeds up.
According to a January 2024 CNBC report, copper prices are projected to surge by over 75% in the next two years due to disruptions in mining supply and increased demand for the metal, particularly driven by the global push for renewable energy. The rise in demand, fueled by the green energy transition, coupled with an expected decline in the US dollar in the latter half of 2024, is expected to contribute to the upward trend in copper prices. Market expectations of potential rate cuts by the US Federal Reserve this year, leading to a weaker dollar, are seen as a factor making US dollar-priced copper more appealing to foreign buyers.
Over 60 countries endorsed a plan at the recent COP28 climate change conference to triple global renewable energy capacity by 2030. Citibank sees this development as highly positive for copper. In a December report, the bank predicted that the increased targets for renewable energy would lead to an additional demand for 4.2 million tons of copper by 2030. This surge in demand could potentially drive copper prices to $15,000 per ton in 2025, surpassing the previous record peak of $10,730 per ton reached in March 2023. Citi analysts project a positive scenario for copper prices, contingent on a very soft economic landing in the US and Europe, an earlier rebound in global growth, and substantial easing measures in China. The analysts also emphasize the importance of ongoing investments in the energy transition sector for this future.
Some of the best copper stocks to buy include Newmont Corporation (NYSE:NEM), Teck Resources Limited (NYSE:TECK), and Freeport-McMoRan Inc. (NYSE:FCX).
Our Methodology
We shortlisted the top copper stocks by considering their upside potential, relying on analyst price targets as of February 24. We have assessed the hedge fund sentiment from Insider Monkey’s database of 933 elite hedge funds tracked as of the end of the fourth quarter of 2023. The list is arranged in ascending order of the number of hedge fund holders in each firm. Hedge funds’ top 10 consensus stock picks outperformed the S&P 500 Index by more than 140 percentage points over the last 10 years (see the details here).
11 Best Copper Stocks To Invest In According To Analysts
An aerial view of a copper mine, showing the intricate workings of heavy machinery.
Best Copper Stocks To Invest In According To Analysts11. Metals Acquisition Limited (NYSE:MTAL)
Number of Hedge Fund Holders: N/A
Average Upside Potential: 15.80%
Metals Acquisition Limited (NYSE:MTAL) is based in Saint Helier, Jersey, with a primary focus on operating and acquiring metals and mining businesses. One of its active operations includes the CSA copper mine located in Cobar, Australia. On October 17, 2023, Metals Acquisition Limited (NYSE:MTAL) announced that it is set to raise approximately $20 million through a private placement financing by selling 1.83 million ordinary shares at a price of $11 per share. The funds generated will be directed towards expediting exploration drilling and mine development at the CSA copper mine.
Like Newmont Corporation (NYSE:NEM), Teck Resources Limited (NYSE:TECK), and Freeport-McMoRan Inc. (NYSE:FCX), Metals Acquisition Limited (NYSE:MTAL) is one of the best copper stocks to buy.
10. Taseko Mines Limited (NYSE:TGB)
Number of Hedge Fund Holders: 7
Average Upside Potential: 23.33%
Taseko Mines Limited (NYSE:TGB), a Canadian mining company established in 1966 and headquartered in Vancouver, is engaged in the acquisition, development, and operation of mineral properties. The company explores for various minerals including copper, molybdenum, gold, niobium, and silver. Taseko Mines Limited (NYSE:TGB) is one of the best copper stocks.
On January 16, Taseko Mines Limited (NYSE:TGB) entered into a $50 million royalty sale agreement with Taurus Mining Royalty Fund, involving 1.95% of the gross revenue from copper sales at its Florence copper project in Arizona. The anticipated proceeds, scheduled for receipt in February, will be used to expedite construction activities at the Florence site, which has so far concentrated on site preparations, earthworks, and civil work for the commercial wellfield.
According to Insider Monkey’s fourth quarter database, 7 hedge funds were long Taseko Mines Limited (NYSE:TGB), compared to 5 funds in the prior quarter. Ric Dillon’s Diamond Hill Capital is the largest stakeholder of the company, with 4.60 million shares worth $6.4 million.
Diamond Hill Capital made the following comment about Taseko Mines Limited (NYSE:TGB) in its Q4 2022 investor letter:
“We have held Canada-based copper miner Taseko Mines Limited (NYSE:TGB) for its attractive positioning as one of the only small copper miners operating in the US. The combination of low inventories relative to historical levels and still-low copper prices allows Taseko to capitalize on rising copper prices —as they did in Q4. The public comment period for Taseko’s second active mine in Florence, Arizona, also ended successfully in October, and the business capped off the year by announcing an attractive development partnership for Florence, bringing clarity for investors.”
9. Ero Copper Corp. (NYSE:ERO)
Number of Hedge Fund Holders: 10
Average Upside Potential: 9.59%
Ero Copper Corp. (NYSE:ERO) ranks 9th on our list of the best copper stocks. Ero Copper Corp. (NYSE:ERO), based in Vancouver, Canada, is involved in exploring, developing, and producing mining projects in Brazil. The company primarily focuses on the production and sale of copper concentrate, along with gold and silver by-products.
On November 6, 2023, Ero Copper Corp. (NYSE:ERO) disclosed a deal where underwriters committed to purchasing 8.51 million common shares at $12.35 per share, resulting in gross proceeds of $105 million. Additionally, the underwriters have an option to acquire up to 15% more of the offering. Ero Copper Corp. (NYSE:ERO) intends to utilize the funds to advance growth initiatives at its Tucuma project and Caraíba operations, support regional exploration programs, and cover general corporate and working capital needs. The company anticipates that the Tucuma project in Brazil will contribute 326,000 metric tons of recovered copper over an initial mine life of 12 years, while its Caraíba operations produced 46,371 metric tons of copper concentrate in 2022.
According to Insider Monkey’s fourth quarter database, 10 hedge funds were bullish on Ero Copper Corp. (NYSE:ERO), compared to 7 funds in the last quarter. Thomas E. Claugus’ GMT Capital is the largest stakeholder of the company, with 7.75 million shares worth over $123 million.
8. Ivanhoe Electric Inc. (NYSE:IE)
Number of Hedge Fund Holders: 15
Average Upside Potential: 95.57%
Ivanhoe Electric Inc. (NYSE:IE) is a Canadian company based in Vancouver. The company specializes in the exploration and development of metals and minerals, with a focus on copper and gold. It offers the Typhoon data acquisition system, a geophysical system known for providing primary signals in its exploration activities. Ivanhoe Electric Inc. (NYSE:IE) is one of the best copper stocks to buy.
On October 17, 2023, J.P. Morgan assigned an Overweight rating and a price target of $24 to Ivanhoe Electric Inc. (NYSE:IE). JPM stated that Ivanhoe Electric's valuable Santa Cruz asset, combined with its exclusive exploration technologies, offers a potential pathway to copper production by the end of this decade.
According to Insider Monkey’s fourth quarter database, 15 hedge funds were bullish on Ivanhoe Electric Inc. (NYSE:IE), compared to 12 funds in the prior quarter.
7. Hudbay Minerals Inc. (NYSE:HBM)
Number of Hedge Fund Holders: 26
Average Upside Potential: 27.14%
Hudbay Minerals Inc. (NYSE:HBM), a diversified mining company based in Toronto, Canada, focuses on exploring, developing, operating, and optimizing properties in North and South America. The company produces copper concentrates containing copper, gold, and silver, as well as zinc concentrates, zinc metal, gold and silver doré, and molybdenum concentrates. It is one of the best copper stocks to invest in.
On February 23, Hudbay Minerals Inc. (NYSE:HBM) reported a Q4 non-GAAP EPS of $0.20 and a revenue of $602.2 million, outperforming Wall Street estimates by $0.08 and $57.63 million, respectively. In the fourth quarter of 2023, there was robust consolidated copper production of 45,450 tonnes and record-setting consolidated gold production reaching 112,776 ounces. This performance was driven by sustained elevated grades at the Pampacancha deposit in Peru, the Lalor mine in Manitoba, and the added contributions from the recently acquired Copper Mountain mine in British Columbia.
According to Insider Monkey’s fourth quarter database, 26 hedge funds were long Hudbay Minerals Inc. (NYSE:HBM), compared to 29 funds in the earlier quarter. GMT Capital is the biggest stakeholder of the company, with 42 million shares worth $232.6 million.
6. Rio Tinto Group (NYSE:RIO)
Number of Hedge Fund Holders: 34
Average Upside Potential: 20.49%
Rio Tinto Group (NYSE:RIO) is engaged in the exploration, mining, and processing of mineral resources. It operates through Iron Ore, Aluminium, Copper, and Minerals segments. On February 21, Rio Tinto Group (NYSE:RIO) declared a $2.58 per share final dividend, bringing the total annual dividend to $4.35 per share. The dividend is payable on April 18, to shareholders on record as of March 8.
According to Insider Monkey’s fourth quarter database, 34 hedge funds were bullish on Rio Tinto Group (NYSE:RIO), compared to 27 funds in the prior quarter. Ken Fisher’s Fisher Asset Management is the leading stakeholder of the company, with 16 million shares worth $1.19 billion.
In addition to Newmont Corporation (NYSE:NEM), Teck Resources Limited (NYSE:TECK), and Freeport-McMoRan Inc. (NYSE:FCX), Rio Tinto Group (NYSE:RIO) is one of the best copper stocks, ranking 6th on our list.
HL International Equity Strategy made the following comment about Rio Tinto Group (NYSE:RIO) in its first quarter 2023 investor letter:
“In terms of geographical performance, the eurozone emerged as the top-performing region, and our stocks did better still, fueled by the strong performance of Infineon, L’Oréal, and Schneider Electric. EMs, which lagged the index, were boosted by the improving outlook for semiconductor companies TSMC and Samsung. Mexico’s FEMSA also contributed strongly to relative returns. Europe ex EMU was the weakest region primarily due to the underperformance of SE Banken and UK miner Rio Tinto Group (NYSE:RIO). The latter was affected by concerns over softer iron ore pricing in the current year, another reflection of manufacturing weakness in steelmaking giant China.”
Click to continue reading and see 5 Best Copper Stocks To Invest In According To Analysts.
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Disclosure: None. 11 Best Copper Stocks To Invest In According To Analysts is originally published on Insider Monkey.
Written by Amy Legate-Wolfe at The Motley Fool Canada
Earnings continue to flood in and investors have seen some positive performance from a few Canadian companies. These include three growth stocks that took off after earnings. That being said, there’s still room to run for the three growth stocks I’ll discuss today. So with just $1,000, let’s see what you could bring in.
Loblaw
Shares of Loblaw (TSX:L) climbed this week as the company reported growth in both profit and sales during the fourth quarter. Canada’s largest grocer reported net earnings of $541 million or $1.72 per share for the quarter, compared to $529 million or $1.62 per share last year. Revenue also increased 3.7% to $14.5 billion, with same-store sales up 2%.
However, everything hasn’t been perfect for the company. Loblaw stock has been under pressure given the ongoing high prices for grocery items. Inflation may be coming down, but prices remain quite high. However, the company combated this by stating its prices were lower than the food price growth identified by Statistics Canada.
And it looks like the grocery retailer should be able to continue attracting customers in the future. It’s now renovating 700 of its locations over the next year. Meanwhile, shares are up 17% in the last year as of writing. So when inflation comes down even more, Loblaw stock is looking for even more room to run.
Nutrien
Nutrien (TSX:NTR) stock was another company seeing a jump after earnings this week. The fertilizer company earned US$176 million during the fourth quarter, which was a decrease from the year before. The company also reported its results included a US$76 million non-cash impairment charge. On an adjusted basis, it earned US$1.1 billion for the quarter, or US$0.37 per share.
While its results were down from record highs achieved in 2022, the company still remained confident in the future. So confident, in fact, that it reported an increase in dividends and its buyback program. This led to a share price increase of 5% after earnings came out.
So even though sales were down from lower selling prices, demand remains high, and will likely continue to do so. Meanwhile, you can grab Nutrien stock while it recently increased the dividend by 2%, and plans to purchase 5% of outstanding shares over the next year.
Teck stock
Another company seeing a share jump was Teck Resources (TSX:TECK.B). The Canadian miner reported fourth-quarter results that came in above market estimates, but that wasn’t what had investors so excited. Instead, they were pleased with a huge increase in its steelmaking coal sales, as well as an investment from Glencore.
The company reported adjusted profit of $1.40 per share, higher than the $1.33 expected. What’s more, it produced a record amount of copper, and ramped up operations at its Quebrada Blanca mine. It then reported earning a profit of $483 million or $0.92 per share, up from $266 million the year before.
So while revenue may have hit $4.1 billion, that was also a huge increase from the $3.1 billion before, showing there is more room for growth. Teck stock clearly has even more growth ahead of it among growth stocks, especially as such a diversified basic materials company. And while shares jumped, they’re still down 6% in the last year, offering a deal while it climbs back to all-time highs.
The post Got $1,000? Buy These Hot Growth Stocks Before They Take Off appeared first on The Motley Fool Canada.
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More reading
Can You Guess the 10 Most Popular Canadian Stocks? (If You Own Them, You Might Be Losing Out.)
How to Build a Bulletproof Monthly Passive-Income Portfolio in 2024 With Just $25,000
Fool contributor Amy Legate-Wolfe has no positions in any of the stocks mentioned. The Motley Fool recommends Nutrien. The Motley Fool has a disclosure policy.
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Casa Minerals Inc. |
CASA.V | +30.00% |
Cariboo Rose Resources Ltd |
CRB.V | +28.57% |
Belmont Resources Inc. |
BEA.V | +28.57% |
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